The recent assignments have not been difficult to write, mainly focusing on the geopolitical conflict between the United States and Iran. Yesterday, Trump mentioned that the "big" impact has yet to come, and today he stated that there will be a strike three times the previous supply amount, which should be what he refers to as big. Today, we can also see Qatar participating in the sequence of attacks, which seems to be a counterattack against the assaults on Dubai and the UAE. The current situation is quite clear; the sooner the war ends, the better it will be for the risk market.

However, Iran's retaliation is still ongoing. The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz led to US oil prices hitting a high of $78 today, causing a collective decline in the risk market. However, $BTC has shown relatively strong resilience, maintaining a price of $68,000 is no small feat, especially with the VIX hitting a new high since 2026 today.

Just now, Trump stated that if necessary, the US Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible, which will aid in the transportation of oil. Currently, oil prices have returned to around $72, and we hope the war ends soon.

Looking back at Bitcoin's data, the trading volume is decent, and the turnover rate is not high. Investors are still interested in the current price, likely betting on the end of the war. There are still two months until Powell's departure, and the market's focus remains on geopolitical conflicts. The Federal Reserve has had a lower presence recently, with more emphasis expected in the second half of the year.

The chip structure remains very normal, with little change among early investors. Even investors at a loss from high positions are staying very calm. If there’s no further negative news, it should be about right.

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