Friends, on Monday, gold opened with a significant gap up and briefly broke through the $5400 mark during the day, causing a stir in the market! Many attribute this to the sudden geopolitical conflict in the Middle East over the weekend. Indeed, the news is the catalyst, but if you only focus on news for trading, your perspective is too narrow. The real big opportunities have long been indicated by the K-lines!
Today, I will take you to dissect the trends of GOLD/USDC on Hyperliquid using the "Chai Theory" as a surgical knife. You will find that this surge was completely triggered by a textbook-level "third buy" structure of the Chai Theory, and this is only the beginning of the main upward wave!
Fundamentals: Geopolitical conflict is just the "igniter," the bull market foundation has long been solidified
Before analyzing the technical side, we must be clear about why gold is so "flammable and explosive"?
1. Escalation of geopolitical conflict: The joint military strikes by the US and Israel against Iran over the weekend directly ignited market risk-averse sentiment. As the ultimate safe-haven asset, gold was first to receive fund inflows, which is the direct reason for the price surge.
2. Global central banks "stockpiling": This is the ballast for the gold bull market! Global central banks have been purchasing gold madly for two consecutive years, particularly the People's Bank of China, which has continued to increase its gold reserves for 15 months. These "national team" buyers are not looking at short-term fluctuations but rather focusing on the significant trend of the global monetary system's restructuring over the next decade.
3. Erosion of US dollar credit: The intensifying fiscal risks in the US, combined with expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle, are eroding the long-term credit of the US dollar. Gold, as a "hard currency" that does not rely on any sovereign credit, is being repriced globally for its strategic value.
Thus, the fundamentals have paved a broad road leading gold towards a bull market. Geopolitical conflict is just the "person" helping you hit the gas pedal.
Chai Theory Technical Analysis: A perfect "third buy" structure, the detonating point of the main upward wave!
Now, let’s focus on the market. Please look at the following 15-minute K-line chart of GOLD/USDC on Hyperliquid, and I will break it down from the perspective of Chai Theory:
1. First upward movement and the first central point: The price started the first wave of upward movement from around $4840, and then constructed the first upward central point in the $4920-$5020 range (small purple box in the chart). This is a process of gaining momentum.
2. Leaving segment and the second central point: On February 22, the price strongly broke through the first central point, initiating a fierce "leaving segment," and constructed a second, higher-level central point in the $5090-$5240 range (large purple box in the chart). Note that the low of the second central point (5090) is above the high of the first central point (5020), which is a typical signal of an upward trend continuation, very strong!
3. Textbook-level "third buy point": The essence of this wave is here! On March 1, the price broke through the second central point ($5240) and then retraced. The key is that this retracement low did not return to the interior of the second central point but stabilized above the central point, and then the price soared to a new high of $5464! This retracement low that did not return to the original central point is what we call the immensely powerful "third buy point" in Chai Theory, abbreviated as "third buy"!
What does "third buy" mean? It means that the market has confirmed the strength of the upward trend ahead, and even the retracement cannot touch the previous震荡 platform, leaving the bears with no strength to fight back. It is often the detonating point of the main upward wave, and subsequent increases are usually the fastest and most violent!
Operational Strategy: Seize the "third buy" opportunity, aiming for the stars and the sea
Since the "third buy" has been confirmed, the operation thought process is very clear:
- Core Idea: Go long in the direction of the trend; any retracement is an opportunity to get in.
- Entry Price Point: Currently, around $5400 is the confirmation area after the "third buy," which can be a main entry point.
- Stop Loss Setting: The stop loss should be set below the upper edge of the second central point, i.e., $5230. As long as the price does not fall below this level, the upward structure is safe.
- Take Profit Target: For the main upward wave triggered by the "third buy," our target must be set long-term. The short-term target is to break the previous high of $5464, and the medium-term target looks at the integer level of $6000!
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This wave of gold triggered by the "Chai Theory third buy," could be one of the most certain trading opportunities in the first half of 2026. Don’t hesitate any longer, open AiCoin now, bind Hyperliquid, and follow this trend to let profits run!
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