Institutional Huge Losses and Leverage Liquidation: Who is Picking Up the Pieces During the Correction?

CN
3 hours ago

From February 5 to 6, Eastern Standard Time, the cryptocurrency market experienced a severe correction, with mainstream asset prices plummeting. The leading institutions most closely tied to these assets instantly fell into significant unrealized losses. BitMine's heavy position in ETH and MicroStrategy's long-term accumulation in BTC were scrutinized under a microscope, with ongoing doubts about liquidity and risk tolerance. As prices fell, leveraged long positions were liquidated en masse, with on-chain and exchange liquidation data frequently hitting new highs. On one side were institutional whales passively enduring massive losses, while on the other were high-leverage funds being forcibly liquidated. The unresolved question emerged: who is quietly catching the falling chips in this tumultuous market, characterized by massive positions, leveraged liquidations, and liquidity pressure?

$8.2 Billion vs. $6.4 Billion: The Heavy Hit on Two Major Institutions

● The pressure on BitMine's balance sheet first came into view: its holding of 4.285 million ETH was calculated to have an unrealized loss of about $8.2 billion when the ETH price dropped to around $1,940. This means that even at the current price, its single asset exposure is close to the size of a significant asset category in a medium-sized country's foreign exchange reserves. The media described the value of this position as "approximately equal to 49 tons of gold," which visually amplified the market's imagination regarding its liquidity and risk management capabilities.

● Correspondingly, MicroStrategy's long-standing "all in" strategy on BTC also faced a brutal market cap drawdown. Its publicly disclosed holding of 713,500 BTC, calculated at a market average cost of about $76,052, currently shows an unrealized loss of approximately $6.4 billion. This U.S. publicly traded company’s narrative of transforming from enterprise software to a "Bitcoin asset pool" was seen as faith and foresight during price increases, but is now being interpreted in reverse as a risk sample of extreme concentrated betting during the correction.

● If we extend the analysis of the two institutions' positions and market images over the entire cycle, we can see two different narrative amplifiers: BitMine is more viewed as a representative of on-chain native capital and mining capital, with its massive spot holdings in ETH causing every ETH fluctuation to be interpreted by the market as a "mining sector balance sheet shock"; MicroStrategy, on the other hand, is a symbolic bridge in traditional capital markets, with its transparent and continuous accumulation announcements once reinforcing the signal that "Wall Street is buying BTC," and now amplifying the expected impact of price corrections on institutional balance sheets. The existence of these heavy positions means that price declines are no longer just K-line events but are endowed with stronger systemic implications.

The Chain Reaction of Liquidations: Starting with a $6.7 Million Long Position

● If institutional unrealized losses remain at the balance sheet level, the severity of leveraged liquidations in this round of corrections is written in real money. Among the liquidation data, a long position in SOL was forcibly liquidated, with a single loss as high as $6.7 million, becoming one of the most representative liquidation cases in this round of market activity. This is not an isolated extreme value but a reflection of countless high-leverage positions being swept away in a price crash, with chips passively sold to cover margin calls, further accelerating the decline.

● On a structural level, high-leverage funds in futures and contract products are essentially a group of speculators highly sensitive to "overvaluation narratives." When the anticipated smooth upward movement is interrupted by sudden negative news, changes in macro sentiment, or reports of institutional massive losses, and prices break through key support levels, the liquidation mechanism mechanically activates: under-margined longs are systematically and programmatically liquidated, triggering a cascade. What might have been a normal adjustment of a few percentage points is magnified into a systemic shock across the entire market through chain liquidations.

● It is worth noting that the massive institutional unrealized losses and the passive deleveraging of on-site leveraged funds are not two independent lines but a dual force amplifying impacts within the same liquidity pool. On one hand, market speculation about whether heavy-position institutions like BitMine and MicroStrategy "will be forced to reduce holdings" weakens the willingness of buyers to support prices; on the other hand, high-leverage funds being passively cleared after price breaks further deteriorates the already tight buy-sell balance. Liquidity is withdrawn in a very short time, creating a vacuum moment where "no one wants to buy, but the system will force sales."

Transparency of Positions Amplifies Panic: BitMine and U.S. Stock Samples

● In this round of corrections, BitMine's position narrative has been continuously visualized and concretized. Media and social platforms widely spread the metaphor of its 4.285 million ETH holdings being equivalent to "about 49 tons of gold." This cross-asset conversion not only emphasizes the sheer quantity but also instills a psychological image in the public that "if this institution encounters problems, it would be like a medium-sized sovereign institution's gold being sold off." The more concrete the metaphor, the more it amplifies panic emotions in the viral spread on social media.

● Unlike BitMine's focus on on-chain native narratives, the holdings of U.S. publicly traded companies like MicroStrategy are highly transparent due to information disclosure regulations—every increase, financing arrangement, and average cost can be clearly tracked by investors. This transparency was seen as a "signal beacon" during the upward cycle, helping the market build confidence in the institution's commitment to holding assets; however, during corrections, it also becomes a double-edged sword: once the unrealized loss figures are calculated and widely disseminated on social platforms, they can easily be interpreted as a negative signal of "institutions can't hold on either," guiding retail investors and other funds to "self-stop blood supply" in advance.

● Meanwhile, perspectives from traditional asset management institutions are also attempting to reshape the narrative framework. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan emphasized that "ETF investors are not market leaders," intending to remind the market that even if newly issued spot ETFs are crucial in terms of capital, their subscription and redemption behaviors do not entirely equate to the dominant forces in the crypto-native market. This voice reflects the differences in risk tolerance and information pricing between traditional finance and the crypto market: the former relies on a more complete disclosure and regulatory system, with pricing leaning more towards medium to long-term fundamentals and capital allocation logic; the latter often experiences violent fluctuations in short-term sentiment under the high-frequency stimulation of social media and on-chain data.

Some Crying Poor While Others Go Long with 25x Leverage

● When numbers and curves become cold, personal voices make this correction feel more tangible. Binance founder CZ once again threw out a self-deprecating remark of "I'm poor again" on social media, which is both a joke about his own balance sheet fluctuations and a subtle expression of helplessness regarding the market. For many investors who entered at high levels and are now deeply trapped, this "bitter smile" from a figure at the top of the industry amplifies the resonance of "everyone is getting hit," and to some extent weakens the courage to continue adding positions.

● In stark contrast to this sense of helplessness is the contrarian action of extreme risk-takers. On-chain monitoring accounts revealed that "Brother Magi" chose to increase his position against the trend during this round of sharp decline, opening a 25x leveraged long position in ETH, viewing this sharp drop as an opportunity for a "comeback." Such a high-multiple directional bet means that as long as prices dip a little more, the liquidation line will be quickly reached, but it also contains the huge temptation of achieving multiple returns if the market reverses in a V-shape, making it the most extreme "gambling corner" in this round of competition.

● Looking at the bigger picture, market sentiment is tearing along a fracture line: on one end are new investors who view the correction as a "delayed buying point," having previously missed the main upward wave and now eager to "buy during panic"; on the other end are existing holders who entered early and already have considerable unrealized gains, choosing to wait or even reduce positions to lock in profits rather than add more. This divergence gives the same K-line a completely different meaning in the eyes of different groups, forming the psychological basis for the turnover of chips and price competition.

A New Narrative as the Storm Approaches: RNBW and HYPE Make Their Debut

● During the bloody mainstream asset correction, exchanges and project parties are still trying to reconstruct the market's attention structure with new narratives. As Binance launched the RNBW token, it also distributed an airdrop worth about $43 to users, and with the project party's promotion, its market cap once exceeded $21 million. Against the backdrop of mainstream coins plummeting, this kind of "new market cap appearing out of nowhere" is interpreted as providing a new stage for funds to rotate in a muddy environment, allowing some emotions to detach from the pain of loss and shift towards imagining new stories.

● At the same time, Coinbase plans to launch HYPE spot trading, and Hyperliquid has also been rumored to be landing on mainstream platforms. This series of product dynamics did not immediately change the overall market's risk appetite but provided a path for some higher-risk-capacity funds to "shift to new targets when the old narrative collapses." When the old leading assets are overshadowed by massive unrealized losses and liquidation fears, new coins and products naturally carry the halo of "growth elasticity" and "early dividends."

● On a more macro narrative level, these new projects and launches are cleverly used to dilute the market's focus on institutional massive losses and liquidation storms. Some funds, after enduring unrealized losses on mainstream assets, choose to participate in new coin speculation with small positions, attempting to hedge psychological gaps through high volatility and high expected returns; exchanges continue to launch new targets to maintain trading heat and attract off-market incremental funds, bringing the imagination of "stories" and "opportunities" back to the forefront. This attention shift does not change the fundamentals of mainstream assets but provides a temporary escape route for the market on an emotional level.

The Whales Are Not Dead, Just Severely Wounded: The Chip Game After the Correction

● Looking back at the severe correction from February 5 to 6, the picture is outlined by three main lines: first, the combined unrealized losses of BitMine and MicroStrategy exceeding $10 billion elevated price fluctuations from a "market event" to a shock to institutional balance sheets; second, the leveraged liquidations represented by the $6.7 million SOL long position liquidation magnified what could have been a controllable decline into a systemic crash; third, the highly transparent position information's secondary dissemination in social media and public opinion rapidly multiplied panic emotions. Behind every flash crash in prices lies the silent pressure of institutional whales and the passive clearing of high-leverage funds.

● Currently, without clear and public signals of large-scale institutional liquidations, the market's chips and liquidity are being pulled in different directions by multiple roles: on one end are institutional whales enduring unrealized losses but still viewed as "not exiting," with every action potentially triggering a chain reaction; on the other end are retail investors and small funds, wavering between "bottom fishing" and "lying flat"; caught in the middle are KOLs, on-chain influencers, and new project parties, who influence the secondary distribution of chips through data interpretation, opinion release, and new coin launches. Whoever can master the narrative between panic and hope is more likely to gain a chip advantage in the next round of market activity.

● Looking ahead, while it is impossible and inappropriate to predict the specific price paths or rebound times for ETH and BTC, this round of corrections resembles a concentrated examination of risk reassessment and narrative premium. The market needs to repeatedly undergo severe adjustments to re-examine the liquidity kidnapping risks brought by heavy institutional positions, reflect on the destructive power of high leverage in extreme market conditions, and assess how much real value new narratives and new targets can provide rather than merely serving as emotional outlets. Corrections will not be the last in this cycle, but each round of severe shocks will invisibly reshape the chip structure, filter risk bearers, and force participants to reset their bottom lines between greed and fear.

Join our community to discuss and grow stronger together!
Official Telegram community: https://t.me/aicoincn
AiCoin Chinese Twitter: https://x.com/AiCoinzh

OKX Benefits Group: https://aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=l61eM4owQ
Binance Benefits Group: https://aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=ynr7d1P6Z

免责声明:本文章仅代表作者个人观点,不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享,不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议,与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权,请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com,本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

Share To
APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink