⚡️ Some say I'm just shouting nonsense, but looking at the trend of U.S. debt, I say that $BTC reaching $1 million one day is definitely not an empty talk—

In the past 25 years, U.S. public debt has skyrocketed from less than $6 trillion to $38.5 trillion, with an annual compound growth rate close to 8%!

At this growth rate, nominal growth cannot keep up with the compounding of debt. Simply relying on maintaining a 2%-3% inflation level and economic growth cannot resolve the debt!

This brings up a very real question: with debt at this scale, what path can the U.S. choose?

A true hard landing to repay the debt is almost impossible; that would mean fiscal tightening, asset price collapse, and soaring unemployment, which leaves almost no operational space in real politics. Which government would dare to take the blame for that?

The remaining options are not very dignified:

1⃣ Tariffs + territorial aggression + economic colonization: Invest small, see quick results, and make money without regard for any rules!

2⃣ Repeatedly combining tools: Lowering real interest rates, tolerating inflation, and gradually externalizing debt pressure through the financial system and global pricing power.

In other words, what the U.S. is truly pursuing may not be to actually reduce the scale of debt, but just to make it appear controllable. This must rely on fiscal dominance, financial repression, or a weakening dollar to maintain debt sustainability.

This has been my judgment all along:

For a long time to come, risks will not be released in a textbook-style explosion, but will be continuously smoothed out by policies and inflation.

This concealment is precisely what is most terrifying; those who firmly believe that nominal safe assets, cash, and fixed income can preserve value will have their asset purchasing power eroded over the long term without them realizing it.

So in a system where debt can only be diluted and not liquidated, assets like gold and BTC, which cannot be diluted by issuance, will become increasingly important and inherently possess hedging properties.

Even if BTC is relatively quiet at this stage and its price performance lags, its attributes determine that it will ultimately reach heights that most people cannot aspire to!

If you don't believe it, come back in 10 years and slap me in the face!

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