Qinglan Crypto Class is now open! BTC's four cycles + dual perspective on news, guiding you to step in sync with the rhythm of the crypto world.

【Core Analysis】

Trend Structure

4-hour Level: The price has effectively broken below the lower edge of the previous consolidation platform (88,500-89,000 area), which has turned into strong resistance. The K-line is operating within a clear descending channel, and the moving average system is in a bearish arrangement.

Daily Level: Currently testing the key support area of 85,000-86,000, which is the neckline of the previous upward structure. If the daily close confirms a breach, it will open up deeper adjustment space.

Key Technical Signals

Momentum Indicators: The 4-hour MACD continues to operate below the zero line, with no bottom divergence structure observed; RSI's rebound is constrained by the 50 midline, indicating that bearish momentum is dominant.

Trading Volume: The decline is accompanied by increased volume, while the rebound period shows a decrease in volume, presenting typical characteristics of a weak rebound.

Key Price Levels

Upper Resistance: 88,000 (psychological level), 88,500-89,000 (technical breakdown area)

Lower Support: 86,800 (intraday low), 85,000-86,000 (structural support)

【Trading Strategy】

Bearish Strategy: Patiently wait for the price to rebound to the resistance area of 88,000-88,500. If there are signs of failure to hold on the hourly close or RSI top divergence, consider lightly entering short positions, with a stop loss set above 89,200, targeting sequentially at 87,000 and 86,200.

Bullish Strategy (Defensive): It is not advisable to bottom-fish on the left side currently. If the price first touches the support area of 85,000-86,000, wait for at least a 4-hour level bullish engulfing pattern or MACD bottom divergence structure to consider a very small position for a tentative long, with a stop loss placed below 84,500.

【Risk Warning】 Pay close attention to the effectiveness of the 85,000-86,000 support area. If a long bearish candle breaks below with increased volume, be wary of the risk of accelerated downward trends. All positions must strictly adhere to stop-loss discipline.

For more quantitative breakdowns of how real-time news affects market sentiment, updates have been made on my Qinglan Crypto Class, www.qinglan.org

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