I really didn't expect it. Today's homework shocked me. I truly didn't think that after just three days, Trump would slap himself in the face by not giving up on Greenland. In just three days, he shifted from a hardline stance on raising interest rates in Europe to TACO. Although it alleviated market panic, Trump ended up embarrassing himself. I had considered the possibility of TACO, but I didn't expect it to happen so quickly. It seems that the decline in the U.S. stock market forced Trump to find a way out.
The market has ended the farce and returned to the main line. The most important issues now remain the legality of Trump's IEEPA tariffs and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. However, as of today, Trump has not announced a candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair, and instead, he continues to speak in a confusing manner. Last year he said a decision had been made, but this year he is still contemplating.
Additionally, some friends are worried that the Bank of Japan might continue to raise interest rates in the next two days, which could affect the risk market. Indeed, Japan's long-term interest rates have been rising recently, but various signs indicate that the probability of the Bank of Japan raising rates in January is low. However, the possibility of maintaining a hawkish stance is quite high, and Japan's interest rates for the entire year of 2026 are expected to be around 1% or above. There’s no need to worry for now.
Looking at Bitcoin's data, after shedding the tariffs on Greenland, changes should start to decrease. However, it is also evident that the turnover rate began to decline on Wednesday. This is because, in the absence of worse negative news, investors are gradually turning calm, and the overall market sentiment remains quite stable. This week is already halfway through, and it is highly likely that the next two days will see a correction. Trump shouldn't have any major surprises.
Currently, the $BTC chip structure is still very healthy, so I bought the dip on Bitcoin to see if there are short-term opportunities. I don't have a clear target; I'll just hold and see. The current bottoming at this position is not yet complete, so I will wait and see.
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