Cryptocurrency News
January 19 Hot Topics:
1. Besant: The likelihood of the Supreme Court overturning Trump's tariffs is low.
2. Fidelity Research Director: Deep integration with Wall Street will drive the next phase of growth in crypto.
3. Pantera and Ondo recently transferred over 200 million ONDO to a multi-signature address.
4. Vanguard Group makes its first purchase of Strategy stock, valued at $505 million.
5. This morning, spot gold and silver hit new highs simultaneously, with silver reaching a historic high of $93.69 per ounce, and gold's increase expanding to 2%, reported at $4,690 per ounce.
Trading Insights
Short-term trading ≠ high-frequency trading! Like trend trading, one must wait for opportunities that are certain and reliable. As for the methods to judge certainty and respond quickly, each trader should have their own insights. For example, recently, BTC has frequently oscillated within a narrow range, making it difficult to establish a clear pattern; otherwise, it can easily lead to losses. I found that adjusting the candlestick time frame to 10 minutes allows for more effective use of indicator signals to capture these sudden oscillation opportunities. The purple line in Figure 1 is a price reference calculated based on the previous day's candlestick trajectory. In a volatile market, when prices deviate, there will be a demand for reversion. Therefore, below the purple line indicates a "bearish" stance on smaller time frames, while above indicates a "bullish" stance. However, this is just a general direction and needs to be combined with the momentum indicators below. A suitable entry point for short positions occurs when a top divergence appears and enters the overbought zone. When the bottom divergence signal appears and enters the oversold zone, decisively close the short position. This method has helped me capture several "oscillation" opportunities in recent weeks. Of course, opportunities are not available every day, so trading is not necessary at all times. Maintaining a calm, rational, and steady mindset is a fundamental skill that needs to be continuously honed in trading.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the friends who followed along; if your trades are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from the time it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
The impact of tariff adjustments due to Greenland on U.S. inflation!
If Trump's "comprehensive tariffs on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland" are actually implemented, it will lead to a short-term increase in inflation. Originally, tariffs are not a punishment for foreign countries but a tax on the cost of U.S. imports, and the ultimate burden will fall on domestic companies, channels, and consumers in the U.S.; only the speed of transmission and the sharing ratio differ. At a level of 10%, companies still have room to maneuver, relying on profit compression, delaying price increases, adjusting supply chains, and changing production locations to absorb some of the costs. Therefore, data may show a moderate rise in core commodity inflation. However, at 25%, it is not just an adjustment; many industries will directly enter a price increase zone, especially for categories that are not easily substituted, have strong bargaining power, and have rigid demand. Price transmission will be more direct and can easily trigger secondary inflation, which is what the Federal Reserve is most concerned about.
BTC is still operating within a rectangular oscillation range. Last week, it touched the M top neckline resistance but failed to break through and stabilize. After breaking the upper edge of the rectangle at 94,500, it was pushed back down, with the possibility of continuing to test for lower support. The key upward trend line near 90,000 cannot be effectively broken; on the daily chart, it has recently retraced continuously, breaking below the midline of the ascending channel. Current support is at 92,500 (Bollinger Band midline), with the next support at 91,300 (POC dense area); the key defensive level is at 90,000 (channel lower edge). If broken, the rebound structure may end; MACD and RSI bearish momentum are still present; for short-term levels, pay attention to the 4-hour chart for potential short-term opportunities.
ETH
Analysis
After the tariff announcement, the EU's response is no longer just verbal protests but has entered a state of institutional emergency. The European Parliament and major political groups have begun to signal a pause and freeze in the advancement of EU-U.S. trade agreements. The EPP has suspended related approval processes, and EU ambassadors have held emergency meetings to discuss unprecedented countermeasures, including stronger tools. This indicates that the EU's judgment is that this is not an ordinary trade friction but an escalation of using tariffs as a geopolitical lever to apply pressure, necessitating the use of equivalent or even asymmetric means to push costs back.
ETH's weekly bullish candle last week is a good rebound signal but is hindered by the upper pressure of the 3,400 triangle convergence. If it breaks through the upper edge, there will be room for upward movement; otherwise, it may continue to retrace. On the daily chart, it has broken below the midline of the ascending channel (3,300), with key support around 3,150. If effectively broken, a bearish trend is about to form; the 4-hour chart shows a breakdown of the channel followed by a pullback, with a bearish structure.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag; if there are any unclear points, feel free to consult.
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