Crypto Circle News
January 18 Hot Topics:
1. OpenAI founder responds to privacy concerns over advertising plans: will never accept any paid actions affecting ChatGPT's responses.
2. Trump: has never offered the position of Federal Reserve Chair to JPMorgan CEO.
3. Market maker Auros co-founder: insufficient liquidity is becoming a core concern in the crypto market.
4. Coinbase CEO denies rumors that the White House will withdraw support for the cryptocurrency market structure bill.
5. Defiance announces it will close and liquidate its Nasdaq-listed Ethereum ETF.
Trading Insights
Short-term trading ≠ high-frequency trading! Like trend trading, one must also wait for opportunities that are certain and reliable. As for the methods to judge certainty and respond quickly, each trader should have their own insights. For example, recently BTC has been frequently oscillating at the hourly level, making it difficult to establish a pattern; otherwise, it is very easy to incur losses. I found that adjusting the candlestick time to 10 minutes allows for more effective use of indicator signals to capture these sudden oscillation opportunities. The purple line in Figure 1 is a price reference calculated based on the previous day's candlestick trajectory. In a volatile market, when the price deviates, there will be a demand for regression. Therefore, it is "bearish" on smaller timeframes above the purple line and "bullish" below it. However, this is just a general direction and needs to be combined with the momentum indicator below. A suitable entry point for short positions occurs when a top divergence appears and enters the overbought zone. When the bottom divergence signal appears and enters the oversold zone, decisively close the short position. This method has helped me capture several "oscillations" in recent weeks. Of course, opportunities are not available every day, so trading is not necessary at all times. Maintaining a calm, rational, and steady mindset is a fundamental skill that needs to be continuously honed in trading.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading signals from the Big White community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from the time it was sent.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
From the data on Bitcoin, although the price of $BTC was relatively stable over the weekend, increasing tariffs equates to increasing inflation. Many of these countries are also allies of the United States, so raising tariffs is likely to create expectations of rising inflation in the U.S., which is what the Federal Reserve is most concerned about. Tariffs are not a one-time stable product but have become a weapon for the U.S. in foreign relations.
I am quite worried that U.S. stocks will drop on Monday in anticipation of Trump's new tariffs, and Bitcoin, which is still highly correlated with U.S. stocks, is likely to struggle to remain unaffected. However, I believe Trump will not actually impose a 25% tariff on these countries, as there is still time until June to see if there are any negotiating opportunities. A pullback to around 94516-94228 could be a good point to go long, with a rebound target of around 95780-96130-96680 for shorting.
ETH
Analysis
This time, in order to acquire Greenland, Trump has once again wielded the weapon of tariffs, imposing a 10% tariff on Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland starting February 1, and raising it to 25% on June 1. The U.S. has indeed had an interest in Greenland for a long time, and several U.S. presidents have attempted to "purchase" Greenland, but all have failed.
Even Trump himself expressed a desire to buy Greenland in 2019, but it wasn't as strong then. Now, I don't know if it's influenced by the midterm elections, but he seems to be becoming more aggressive, even using the threat of tariffs, and the aforementioned countries have expressed dissatisfaction, indicating that a tariff war may be brewing again.
Since this occurred over the weekend, it didn't affect U.S. stocks much, but I expect there will be a reaction when U.S. stocks open on Monday. This is not a good thing, especially since the U.S. Supreme Court has not yet announced the final outcome of Trump's legislation; this incident may also push the Supreme Court to make an announcement before February 1.
A pullback to around 9233-3205 could be a good point to go long, with a rebound target of around 3360-3430.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific trading advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article may have some lag; if there are any unclear points, feel free to consult.
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