Historically, during the political cycle every four years, the midterm elections and the general elections often correspond to a relatively higher win-rate window for risk assets.

Assuming there is no severe economic recession, it is highly likely that U.S. interest rates will be at a cyclical low range around 2028, with financial conditions tending to loosen, providing support for liquidity.

If a recession occurs before 2028, both the pace of interest rate cuts and balance sheet policies will be forced to be implemented earlier and more aggressively, creating a more certain medium to long-term allocation window.

If an economic recession occurs before 2028, I would likely buy in large quantities.

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