Introduction: On January 14, 2026, the global financial market witnessed a spectacle: Bitcoin (BTC) surged past $95,000 USDT, with a 24-hour increase of 1.65%; at the same time, spot gold returned above $4,600, and silver's increase expanded to 3.93%. This simultaneous rise of "decentralized assets" and "traditional safe-haven assets" is supported by three sets of hard data.
I. Macroeconomic Data: Probability of Fed Rate Cut Soars from 62% to 88%
Today's explosive growth was triggered by the December CPI data just released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Core Data: The U.S. December core CPI increased by 2.6% year-on-year, the lowest level since 2021.
Market Response: According to CME FedWatch, the market's expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut at the end of January surged from 62% yesterday to 88.5% today.
Associated Logic: The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) fell below 100. As the cost of fiat currency settlement decreases, BTC, gold, and silver, which have scarcity attributes, began a collective frenzy of "anti-scarcity trade."
II. Institutional Accumulation: MicroStrategy's "Vacuum Effect"
The hotly discussed #Strategy to increase Bitcoin holdings is the emotional engine behind this wave of market activity.
According to the latest disclosures from Saylor Tracker and SEC regulatory filings: aggressive buying: MicroStrategy once again financed through convertible bonds in early January, increasing its holdings by 13,627 BTC at an average price of approximately $91,519.
Exchange Exhaustion: According to Glassnode on-chain data, the BTC balance across major exchanges has dropped to its lowest point in five years (approximately 2.48 million BTC).
Conclusion: The institutional behavior of "buying only and not selling" has caused a severe supply shock. At the $95,000 mark, the market has entered a "chip vacuum zone."
III. Industry Research Reports: Standard Chartered and Vitalik's "Davis Double-Whammy"
In addition to the unilateral rise of BTC, mainstream financial institutions' bullish outlook on Ethereum (ETH) has intensified FOMO sentiment: Standard Chartered: In the report released this morning titled "2026 Digital Asset Outlook," analyst Geoff Kendrick reiterated that ETH will reach $40,000 by 2030. The reasoning is that the L2 network's TVL (Total Value Locked) has surpassed $4 billion, with on-chain activity reaching an all-time high.
Vitalik's Technical Vision: Ethereum founder Vitalik's discussions on "decentralized revival" and solving the blockchain trilemma have made investors realize that the underlying value of Web3 is returning, prompting large holders to switch from stablecoins to mainstream coins.
IV. Why "Moving Together"?
From the correlation coefficient on Bloomberg Terminal, the 30-day correlation between BTC and gold has rebounded to 0.32 today. This reflects the collective concern of large global funds regarding a "debt-driven economy."
Old Money Chooses Gold: Still the preferred choice for defending against inflation and hedging against sovereign debt crises.
New Money Chooses BTC: Pursuing alpha (excess) returns on top of safe-haven assets, aiming for a sprint towards the $100,000 mark as a high-elasticity asset.
Disclaimer: The above information is compiled from online sources and does not constitute investment advice.
Join our community to discuss and grow stronger together!
Official Telegram community: https://t.me/aicoincn
AiCoin Chinese Twitter: https://x.com/AiCoinzh
OKX Benefits Group:
https://aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=l61eM4owQ
Binance Benefits Group:
https://aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=ynr7d1P6Z
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
