| Hot News |

1: [SEC Chairman: Confident that the Clarity Act will be submitted to the President for signing this year]

2: [Thai Prime Minister orders tightening of regulations related to gold trading and digital assets]

What’s the outlook for Bitcoin and Ethereum today? Just last night, Bitcoin finally broke out after days of consolidation. I had repeatedly reminded everyone last week that the 4-hour range was narrowing, and as long as the support below held, a big move was brewing. Let’s talk about the macro perspective first. The crypto space has been bustling with activity these past few days, with a high density of information that’s hard to keep up with. This time, it’s very likely to change the overall macro trend of the financial market, and may even trigger a new market cycle. A few days ago, CZ, the founder of Binance, tweeted that the super cycle in the crypto industry is coming. Many people are still wondering if he’s just making another call, or if the bull market is really returning. However, I believe he has seen something that most of us have not yet realized. From Federal Reserve Chairman Powell directly firing at Trump and publicly accusing him, if the situation escalates and Powell is indeed convicted, the independence of the Federal Reserve will be shaken. This could be the biggest black swan of 2026. It won’t just bring short-term volatility, but a collapse of confidence at the level of the financial system. The surge in gold prices and the frantic purchases of gold by central banks around the world are not coincidences; they are preemptive defenses. Such a level of chaos may not be good for the financial market. What the financial market truly likes are clear rules, predictable policies, and stable order. Is it a super cycle or super chaos? Tommy believes it resembles super chaos more, but we must also remember that all super cycles almost always emerge from repeated super chaos. The characteristics of chaotic phases are extremely high volatility, many false signals, and significant costs of mistakes. It does not reward impulsiveness but punishes luck, rewarding those long-term investors who truly understand market structure.

BTC: After breaking out from the 90400-92100 range, Bitcoin has seen a volume breakout. Currently, Bitcoin is stabilizing after breaking through the 4-hour range and is preparing to hit the next target. The 12-hour chart is now showing an increase in both volume and price. If the trapped positions from November 17 stabilize effectively, the next wave of significant gains won’t leave much time for hesitation to get on board. For now, we just need to remember one thing: a pullback means a buy, with a target of 102700.

ETH: From the current 12-hour perspective, Ethereum has completed the mid-term range of 2930-3380. The next target is to stabilize above 3380 and aim for 3580-3750. In terms of operations, it’s synchronized with Bitcoin; a pullback is an opportunity to enter long positions. To summarize today’s intraday operations in one sentence: the direction has been given, and the market is now preheating for tomorrow’s legislative decision. A pullback is the last chance to get on board; those who fear heights are the unfortunate ones.

So, the intraday operation is to enter long positions in batches during pullbacks. Those who haven’t entered the spot market can also do so; this is the most stable rhythm for today.

In this recent bull market, I have repeatedly emphasized that I believe the underlying logic of the crypto market has changed. The factors determining market trends will be more complex than before, and this complexity is something investors have not experienced in previous bull and bear markets. I am Tommy, a participant in the crypto space who trades while learning. If you want real-time entry points and personalized strategies, click on my profile to join the community. We have professional trading instructors available around the clock to help you maintain your mindset; don’t bear it alone.

Points are time-sensitive, and there may be delays in posting, so please refer to real-time market conditions. Lastly, everyone should remember the two key points I mentioned in my last article: focus on trial positions in the short term, and once we deviate from our target range, it will be the last chance to get on board before the end of the year. I am Tommy from K-line Life, your real-time crypto steward, mainly focusing on spot, contracts, BTC/ETH/ETC.

Specializing in style: K-line trading

Original volume trading strategy.

Short-term wave highs and lows, medium to long-term trend trades, daily extreme pullbacks, weekly K-line top predictions, monthly K-line head predictions.

WeChat public account QR code (K-line Life Tommy)

Warm reminder: The only WeChat public account at the end of the article is created by the author!!

Please be cautious in distinguishing between true and false, thank you for reading!

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