In fact, we can see from market expectations that the expected CPI is the same as the previous value, which indicates that the market has sufficient reasoning to believe that the current CPI will not deviate significantly, and inflation should be able to maintain the level of November. Only the trend of core inflation has surprised the market.

I have also heard that the market believes the low inflation in November was due to the shutdown, but in reality, it seems to have little to do with the shutdown, especially since the month-on-month rate of core inflation has actually decreased. The overall inflation increase appears to be driven only by food and housing, and I wonder if this is due to seasonal reasons.

However, I completely agree with what Brother Owen said: even if the current inflation has decreased, it is not enough to change the Federal Reserve's stance. After all, the decrease is not significant, and Nick has also stated that the probability of not lowering interest rates in January should be 100%. I wonder if there are any plans to predict the market and take a chance.

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