The homework has been difficult to write in the past two days, and the market sentiment remains slightly volatile. The events in Venezuela are creating market expectations similar to those in the U.S., which has begun discussions with Venezuela regarding oil imports. If this is successfully achieved, it could help lower oil prices, thereby reducing some inflation in the U.S. However, I personally believe the focus this week will still be on Friday.

Two important events are happening on Friday. One is the release of non-farm payroll data. Currently, both good and bad unemployment data can be considered positive. An increase in the unemployment rate may raise expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, while a decrease in the unemployment rate indicates that the U.S. economy remains optimistic. However, it is highly likely that there will be no rate adjustment in January, and any adjustments after March will be more about the direct game between Trump and the Federal Reserve.

The other more important matter is that tomorrow the Supreme Court may announce its ruling on Trump's tariffs. If it deems Trump's tariffs illegal, it would be beneficial for alleviating inflation in the U.S. and would also assist the Federal Reserve in choosing to cut rates. However, it could be uncomfortable for Trump and his administration, potentially impacting Trump's approval ratings.

Looking back at Bitcoin data, the $90,000 curse seems to have been broken. Even though it fell below $90,000 yesterday, today, despite the decline in U.S. stocks, $BTC has returned above $90,000, showing a different trend from U.S. stocks. Of course, it is still early to draw conclusions; we need to see how the market reacts after the non-farm data and the results of the Trump tariffs on Friday. If it can stabilize above $90,000, that would be quite good.

The structure of the chips is still changing, with investors around $87,000 still participating in the turnover. The current stabilization period is still a bit short, and a stable bottom reconstruction has not yet formed. Instead, investors around $90,000 seem to be more stable. Let's wait until after tomorrow to see.

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