CoinShares: Last week, digital asset investment products recorded an inflow of $131 million, while short-selling products also saw a recovery.

CN
3 days ago

On January 5th, East 8 Time, CoinShares released the latest weekly report (statistics as of December 30) on the fund flows of digital asset investment products, showing that crypto investment products continued to record strong net inflows, with short-related products also experiencing a long-awaited recovery. This round of capital influx is seen as a response to previous price adjustments and sets the tone for market sentiment after the holiday.

ETF and Derivative Fund Signals Strengthen in Sync

● Overall Scale: Digital asset investment products recorded approximately $131 million in net inflows last week, continuing the positive trend of the previous weeks. After a phase of adjustment, the marginal funds still tend to buy.
● Regional Differences: In terms of regional distribution, Europe and Canada continued to maintain a net inflow pattern, while the performance of related products in the United States was relatively mild, with the report only indicating a year-on-year change of -12%, without disclosing specific amounts and proportions.
● Asset Preference: Mainstream cryptocurrencies remain the main battlefield for funds, with Bitcoin-related products continuing to dominate, and passive allocations centered around long products becoming the main vehicle for this round of inflows.
● Short Products: Unlike the previous weeks of continuous capital withdrawal, this period saw net inflows into short-related investment products, with an overall scale of approximately $139 million, of which about $105 million was concentrated in shorting Bitcoin, indicating that some funds are beginning to attempt hedging or speculating on short-term declines.
● Structural Information Gap: The original report only disclosed the overall scale of short products and the concentration of shorting BTC, without breaking down the detailed structure of various short products, making it impossible to determine changes in specific product categories and term structures. It can only confirm the essential signal that "short direction has regained favor with funds."

The Deep Logic of Capital Game

From the capital trajectory of the past few weeks, this round of capital inflow is not a single-direction trend following but rather a structural game where long passive allocations and short risk hedging are simultaneously elevated. Long funds continue to view price adjustments as opportunities to accumulate through traditional Bitcoin and large crypto asset products, with this incremental capital leaning more towards long-term allocations and institutional funding rhythms. Meanwhile, hedge products represented by shorting Bitcoin have regained attention exceeding the $100 million level, indicating that there is internal disagreement in the market regarding the sustainability of short-term gains, with risk budgets becoming more refined. The report did not extend to broader macro variables such as interest rates, elections, or regulatory developments, so the main line that can currently be confirmed is that funds are repricing risk and returns within the volatility framework of crypto assets, and the previous divergence between price and sentiment is gradually being corrected through a dual-directional capital layout.

The Tug of War Between Long Accumulation and Short Defense

Surrounding this round of $131 million in net inflows, market sentiment shows a clear characteristic of "surface optimism, internal hedging." The bullish side emphasizes that, cumulatively this year, digital asset investment products have repeatedly welcomed capital rebalancing during price correction phases, and this continued inflow is seen as a reaffirmation of the mid-to-long-term narrative of crypto assets; especially the continuous capital absorption of Bitcoin-related products makes the bulls more inclined to interpret short-term fluctuations as healthy turnover. The relatively conservative side, however, pays more attention to the recovery of short products, pointing out that under the overall net inflow backdrop, the shorting of Bitcoin still attracted over $100 million in funds, meaning that a considerable portion of participants do not fully believe in the safety of the current valuation range and prefer to lock in some profits or speculate on phase corrections through hedging tools. The divergence between both sides has not yet formed a sharp tear in prices but is reflected in the simultaneous expansion of long and short positions, manifesting in derivatives and structured products, leading the market into a phase of "stable prices, unstable positions."

Key Windows for Future Observation

Looking ahead to the next few weeks, the market focus will shift to several key dimensions: first, whether digital asset investment products can continue to maintain positive net inflows after the holiday; if the total continues at the current pace, the logic of passive and active long allocations will be further solidified; second, whether the funds related to short products are a short-term emotional release or will evolve into a continuous inflow mid-term trend, which will directly affect price elasticity and correction slope; third, whether the differences in capital rhythms between the Americas and Europe will be amplified or converged in subsequent weekly data. Since the briefing did not extend its analysis to broader macroeconomic or regulatory events, future judgments still need to rely on the evolution of capital and product structures themselves. If in the next few reports, net inflows and short scales continue to expand simultaneously, investors need to pay more attention to the possibility of volatility returning and short-term trend reversals; conversely, if short products turn back to net outflows while total inflows remain resilient, it may create space for a new round of risk appetite to rise.

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