Cryptocurrency News
January 4th Highlights:
1. Solana founder responds to the Jupiter co-founder token buyback issue: Staking is more beneficial for the protocol's capital structure.
2. Hut 8 announces partnership with Coinbase to expand Bitcoin-backed credit line to $200 million.
3. Bitmine adds 49,088 ETH in staking, valued at approximately $152.7 million at current market prices.
4. U.S. Congressman Ritchie Torres will propose a bill to prohibit federal officials from trading on prediction markets using insider information.
5. Trump claims to have captured Maduro and taken him out of Venezuela, who previously promoted the "petro" to counter U.S. sanctions.
Trading Insights
Bottom fishing or exiting? The current market has 4 major points of contention that determine whether you are a 20% winner or an 80% follower! 1. Focus on Powell: The core of "expectation management" to stabilize the economy is "balanced regulation + emotional stability." When the economy is weak, signals of easing are released to avoid market panic and assist in a soft landing. 2. Focus on Trump's policies: Low interest rates are the core support for his tariffs and stablecoin policies, essentially "benefiting capital + fulfilling promises," aiming for industrial repatriation, enhancing economic autonomy, and alleviating debt, all of which require low interest rates to buy time. 3. Focus on Trump's call for rate cuts: Driven by multiple interests, one is to lower government and corporate financing costs, paving the way for infrastructure and industrial repatriation, while stabilizing the stock market and increasing voter satisfaction; the second is to alleviate debt pressure, creating space for subsequent fiscal policies, pressuring the Federal Reserve while also conveying confidence to the market. 4. Focus on market psychology: After a pullback, the downside space is narrow; "buy low, sell high" is key. The pullback during the meeting week has released a lot of selling pressure, and pessimistic sentiment is near the bottom. The true bottom often occurs when most people dare not enter the market; at this time, there may not be a rebound, but the probability of a significant decline is low.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the actual trading signals from the Big White community this week. Congratulations to those who followed along; if your trades are not going well, you can come and test the waters.
Data is real, and each trade has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks About Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
The first quarter, from January to April, is full of challenges. On one hand, the Federal Reserve is unlikely to adjust interest rates in January; any adjustment would have to wait until March, which also includes the dot plot, and March actually sends the best signal to Trump.
I believe that before the March FOMC meeting, Trump will definitely announce the successor to the Federal Reserve Chairman, and March will be Powell's last dot plot. Even if there is no interest rate adjustment in March, the dot plot will reveal the expectations of Federal Reserve officials regarding the change in chairmanship, and it is even possible that there will be a loyalty pledge.
Powell's departure date is May 15, 2026, and there is no FOMC meeting in May, so the April meeting will be Powell's last, and the June meeting will have the new chairman. Therefore, the closer we get to May, the greater the potential volatility, and the market will start to bet. A pullback to around 90770-89770 can be a buying opportunity, and a rebound to around 91500 can be a chance to short, with targets around 90800-89800.
ETH
Analysis
This period is still a showdown between Trump and Powell, but Trump likely has no way to deal with Powell and can only wait for Powell's term to end, while Trump himself has his own issues.
The most important factor is whether Trump's tariffs will be overturned by the Supreme Court. If they are overturned, it will significantly impact Trump's reputation, trustworthiness, and even the support rate of the Democratic Party. To prepare for the midterm elections, Trump will inevitably need to make a market-stimulating counterattack; I don't know what it will be, but as long as Trump intends to continue holding both houses in the midterm elections and does not want to repeat the mistakes of his first term, he must do something. The cancellation of tariffs is beneficial for risk markets, as it reduces the likelihood of sustained inflation. A pullback to around 3117-3085 can be a buying opportunity, with a rebound target around 3195.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag; if you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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