Cryptocurrency News
January 2 Hot Topics:
1. Peter Schiff: If included in the S&P 500, Strategy 2025 will have the sixth worst decline in the index.
2. The Central Cyberspace Administration: This year, 1,418 counterfeit websites have been removed, some of which used the names of financial institutions to promote "stablecoin" investments.
3. An address that had been inactive for over 12 months has unstaked a total of 631,900 HYPE through three different wallets in the past three days, equivalent to about $20.3 million, which accounts for approximately 14%-15% of its total holdings.
4. The UniSat wallet Runes indexing issue has been fixed, and services have returned to normal.
5. Coinbase CEO: The Base App focuses on social trading, which is different from the positioning of the main Coinbase app.
Trading Insights
- Don’t think for yourself; let the market prove it to you. Right-side trading is more reliable, and it’s no longer suitable for old strategies to take risks. More importantly, not losing or losing less is the basic line for making money in the capital market.
- Don’t be afraid of frequent trading; transaction costs are minimal, low enough to be negligible. If you don’t want to hold, sell it off; you can always buy back anytime.
- Carefully observe historical trends; each stock has different qualities and habits, which reflect the preferences of capital.
LIFE IS LIKE
A JOURNEY ▲
Below are the real trading group orders from the Big White Community this week. Congratulations to the coin friends who followed along. If your operations are not going smoothly, you can come and test the waters.
The data is real, and each order has a screenshot from when it was issued.
**Search for the public account: *Big White Talks Coins*
Bilibili and YouTube account: Daquan777
BTC
Analysis
By mid-2025, BTC is gradually flowing into long-term holdings, particularly among high-net-worth users. This group is not sensitive to price changes; whether prices rise or fall, there is a clear buying behavior. In contrast, small-scale investors are more sensitive to price changes. In the past year, the number of open contracts for BTC across all exchanges has been noted.
Next is the data on Bitcoin's open contracts. Although this data does not directly indicate BTC's future trends, it clearly shows that the current leverage level for BTC is very low. Considering the deleveraging in October as a cascading factor, the current leverage level is actually one of the lowest this year.
A lower leverage level indicates that investor sentiment is not high. Additionally, repeated fluctuations can cause leveraged investors to lose confidence. However, it is evident that there is a trend of increasing open contracts. If we extend the timeframe to the last five years, the leverage data will be even clearer.
Recent five years of BTC open contracts on exchanges.
A rebound to around 88,970-90,000 can be an opportunity to short, with a target around 87,350-86,750.
ETH
Analysis
The inventory on exchanges continues to decrease, with the number of holdings significantly greater than sell-offs. Holding positions indicate that there are still more investors optimistic about BTC's future. From the holding data, high-net-worth investors tend to hold the most and are less affected by price changes. Even traditional investors have not shown signs of completely abandoning cryptocurrencies for U.S. stocks.
This group of high-net-worth and traditional investors is primarily composed of U.S. and U.S. time zone investors. Therefore, U.S. politics, economy, and monetary policy will have a significant impact on cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin. Although currently constrained by liquidity, resulting in low leverage levels and investor sentiment, it is clear that we are in a position-building phase. Once liquidity or policies provide better stimulation, it will greatly influence the strengthening of BTC prices. A pullback to around 2,975-2,947 can be an opportunity to go long, with a rebound target around 3,050-3,120.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion and for reference only! It does not constitute specific operational advice and does not bear legal responsibility. Market conditions change rapidly, and the article has a certain lag. If you have any questions, feel free to consult.
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