Gold is up 120% since early 2024, logging one of its strongest runs on record.
Gold broke out in the absence of a recession, QE, or financial crisis headlines.
Central banks bought over 600 tonnes in 2025 and are on pace for 840 tonnes in 2026.
This is strategic accumulation driven by reserve diversification, sanction risk, and declining trust in long duration sovereign debt.
This matters for crypto because gold has historically led BTC by roughly three months at liquidity inflection points.
Gold has already repriced the easing cycle while BTC sentiment remains anchored to prior cycle analogs and recent drawdowns.
Metals are signaling policy easing and fiscal dominance. When metals outperform equities, markets are pricing currency debasement over growth collapse.
The metals move could be a sign of what's to come for other risk assets.

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