Good evening everyone, today is New Year's Eve 2025. I hope everyone can spend this day with their loved ones. Please don't hesitate to treat yourself well today and set a good example for 2026.

Regarding the trend of Bitcoin, it still leans towards volatility. Last night, Bitcoin saw buying around 87800, but the price faced resistance around 88800 and did not refresh the previous high. The pullback did not reach the previous low but instead fluctuated between the 87800 support and the refreshed high. This confirms yesterday's view of volatility.

Ethereum's volatility is relatively larger. At 10:30 PM on the 30th, it retraced to the 15-minute EMA 120 and 144, rebounding from 2958 and briefly breaking 3000, but was immediately suppressed back to 2968. The last five hourly candlesticks formed a series of bearish patterns, with Ethereum dipping to around 2940, while the solid line closed at the current hourly EMA 120 and 144, 2955, and has been running above it since.

Currently, Bitcoin is operating in the 88500-88800 range on the four-hour EMA 120 and 144, while the one-hour EMA 120 and 144 have already risen above 87800. The competition in this range, with reduced volume, will not yield results quickly; it still leans towards volatility. The continuation of Bitcoin's 15-minute trend has not yet completed, but the momentum has weakened.

The overall view can be slightly adjusted based on yesterday's thoughts. For Bitcoin, pay close attention to the area around 89500 above and 87500 below. For Ethereum, focus on the 3000 level above and the 2930-2950 range below. Following yesterday's movements, the current state should be proactive. If heavily invested, consider reducing positions appropriately, and it’s best to allocate some for the New Year.

For increasing Bitcoin positions, it can be done at 89350, with a stop loss at 90185. For Ethereum, add at 3008, with a stop loss at 3038. Conservatively, you can enter short positions in the add zone, but it may not be filled.

If looking to buy for a rebound, you can enter around 87300, with a stop loss at 86500. For Ethereum, buy at 2928 for a risk-reward ratio, with a stop loss at 2908. The overall trend still leans towards bearish volatility. Adjustments can be optimized according to market sentiment.

Let’s move forward together. Official account: Jiang Xin Lun Chan

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