Welcome to the Qinglan Crypto Classroom. Today is Sunday, and we will analyze BTC's 1-hour chart, including the news aspect:
From our 1-hour candlestick chart, Bitcoin has been quite volatile recently. It first surged on the morning of December 26, reaching over $89,000, but quickly retraced and consolidated around the $87,000 mark for a day. However, starting from the morning of December 28, it has shown renewed vigor with a noticeable rebound, although it has slightly pulled back again.
On the technical side, we see that the 1-hour MA moving averages are currently arranged as MA5 > MA10 > MA20, indicating a clear bullish trend, which suggests a strong short-term trend. The MACD indicator is even more powerful; it formed a golden cross at 7 AM on December 28, which is a significant bullish signal. Although the MACD bars have slightly shortened, they remain above the zero line. The RSI indicator is currently around 54, in a neutral zone, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, so there is still room for upward movement.
Looking at the news aspect, while some news is favorable for altcoins, such as the massive staking of ETH, the burning of UNI, and Arthur Hayes' optimism about DeFi, all of these indicate that the entire crypto market is vibrant. However, some news also mentioned that Bitcoin's dominance faced resistance around $88,600, and funds may flow into other altcoins. Additionally, pension and institutional funds are expected to flood into cryptocurrency ETFs in 2026, which is a long-term positive, but there is no immediate impact visible in the short term. Regarding the news about Binance's flash drop to $24,000, we need to clarify that it was just an abnormal fluctuation in a trading pair with very low liquidity; the mainstream BTCUSDT did not drop below $86,400, so there is no need to worry too much.
In summary, our prediction is that Bitcoin is currently in a slight pullback within a short-term upward trend on the 1-hour level. The price is striving to break upward, but the range between $88,600 and $89,200 will be a significant resistance level that everyone should closely monitor. On the downside, around $87,600 and $87,500 will be strong support. If it can strongly break through $89,200, we can expect even higher levels! Conversely, if it fails to break through and drops below $87,500 or even $87,000, we may need to be cautious of the risk of a short-term top forming.
Therefore, our current trading strategy can lean towards buying on dips. We can look for entry opportunities near the support range of $87,500-$87,600, targeting the resistance level of $88,600-$89,200. The stop-loss can be set below $87,000, which will help with risk control.
Finally, the Qinglan Crypto Classroom leaves you with a golden quote: Trading is not a battle with the market, but a dance with your own emotions.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
