The yield on Japanese government bonds continues to rise. In Figure 1, it is not difficult to see that funds have partially flowed back to Japan. The negative news has mostly been priced in already. Next, in the cryptocurrency market, along with the U.S. stock market, there may be a small rally.

Currently, in Figure 2, the yen exchange rate has reached 157. For the cryptocurrency market, it is highly likely that it will reach a critical point and start to decline. This is because the interest rate hike in Japan reduces profits for the trillions of dollars in arbitrage capital from outside. Previously, with a 0% loan, one could easily profit from U.S. stocks and bonds. Now, with the rate changing from 0 to 0.75, those stocks and bonds with low returns will definitely start to see capital withdrawal. Therefore, it is predicted that tonight or early tomorrow morning, there is a high probability of a sell-off.

Thus, today it is likely to rise to 3000 and then surge again before a sell-off.

The best entry point is to short around 3045, with a stop loss at 3099, targeting 2919 with 100X leverage and a 5% position.

It is also possible to rise to 3058, so pay attention!

Follow the public account, and I will alert you if there are any anomalies!

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