Article editing time: December 18, 2025, 18:50. All opinions do not constitute any investment advice! For learning and communication purposes only.
Discipline hides infinite possibilities in life, and its depth also measures the height of life. Every step of deep cultivation has its own echo; the more disciplined one is, the further they go. I am Fuzhu, deeply engaged in analyzing mainstream cryptocurrency trends, breaking down market logic based on professional accumulation, and providing pragmatic trading ideas.
Trading in the cryptocurrency market is not an overnight effort but a long-term practice that requires patience. Do not let short-term gains and losses disrupt your strategy. As long as the direction is firm and the timing of trades and market fluctuations are accurately grasped, the win rate will steadily improve. Investment is also a journey of growth, and I hope to encourage fellow cryptocurrency enthusiasts: improve while operating, review and consolidate through gains and losses, deepen risk awareness, and calibrate mental coordinates, so as to calmly avoid risks and grow into mature investors.
The foundation of trading is survival; profits are merely a natural gift. Before every trade, it is essential to examine the operational logic and the safety of the principal, refining and optimizing a personalized trading system. My advice may not help you get rich overnight, but it can guide you in the long run—only those who firmly establish themselves in the cryptocurrency market and persevere until the end can reap what they seek.
Remember, the darkest hour is just before dawn. On the road to pursuing your goals, you are never alone. I am willing to walk alongside you towards the light.
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has been under pressure, with the total market capitalization falling to around $3 trillion. Last night, mainstream coins fluctuated back and forth, clearing positions, which looked a bit unseemly. Currently, market sentiment is cautious, mainly affected by expectations of U.S. inflation data, institutional ETF outflows, and weak tech stocks. The liquidation scale exceeded $500 million, and long positions were hit hard, but BTC held the critical support at $85,000.
Today, BTC opened at around $86,200, showing a slow upward trend during the day, testing the $85,000 level in the early morning. Currently, macro uncertainty dominates. The unclear path of the Federal Reserve's interest rates and the upcoming inflation data have led to selling pressure on risk assets. On-chain data shows weak network activity and insufficient retail investor confidence, but in the long term, Bitcoin's narrative as "digital gold" remains strong. Short-term focus is on the critical support level of $85,000; if it is lost, it may trigger a larger correction.
The daily Bollinger Bands are still narrowing, testing the support of the lower Bollinger band. The MACD indicator's DIF and DEA have started to converge but have not yet formed a death cross, indicating that a trend change is imminent. The 4-hour level has seen some rebound with increased volume, and the KDJ is beginning to show a trend towards a golden cross. The middle track of the Bollinger channel has been breached, indicating that the short-term rebound strength is increasing. Short-term focus is on the key support range of $84,500-$85,000, with resistance at $88,000 above. If it can return to $88,000, the rebound space will widen.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to go long in the $84,500-$85,000 range, targeting $86,000-$87,000. Short in the $88,000-$87,500 range, targeting $86,000-$85,500.
Ethereum (ETH) has seen a larger decline, dipping to around $2,800 in the early session. ETH is significantly affected by the exit of retail investors, with active addresses dropping to a 12-month low and weak network demand. Continuous ETF outflows have intensified selling pressure, DeFi TVL growth has slowed, and Layer 2 upgrade expectations have failed to boost confidence. Whale accumulation provides some buffer, but ETH is highly dependent on BTC's movements. Both the fundamental and technical aspects are weaker than BTC.
ETH has now broken below the $2,900 trendline support, with key support at $2,800-$2,700 below. If this is lost, it may quickly test $2,500. Resistance above is at $3,000, which is also a dense area of positions.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to enter small positions in the $2,850-$2,800 range, targeting $2,900-$2,950. Light short positions can be taken in the $2,950-$3,000 range, targeting $2,850-$2,800.
Disclaimer: The above content is personal opinion, and the strategy is for reference only, not as an investment basis. Any risks taken are at your own discretion.
This article is exclusively provided by Fuzhu in the cryptocurrency circle and represents Fuzhu's unique perspective. Please indicate the source when reprinting. Manage your positions reasonably and avoid heavy or full positions. May my analysis serve as a lighthouse in the vast sea of the cryptocurrency market, guiding you on your journey.
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