This morning, Trump's public speech mentioned that the new Federal Reserve Chairman will significantly support lowering interest rates. Therefore, regardless of who ultimately becomes the new Federal Reserve Chairman, it is highly likely that they will firmly implement Trump's policies. This is certainly not good for the independence of the Federal Reserve, but for the risk markets, a significant reduction in interest rates equates to easing, which will increase investors' risk appetite.

Of course, from an inflation perspective, this may not be beneficial for inflation in the United States. If Trump's tariffs are overturned by the Supreme Court and the Russia-Ukraine war comes to a smooth end, the impact on inflation may be minimal. However, if tariffs continue and geopolitical conflicts are not fully resolved, inflation in the United States is likely to continue rising.

But the outcome is probably something the next U.S. president will need to worry about.

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