Predictive markets are truly a great trading research tool.

In the past, we often regarded multi-factor analysis and public opinion monitoring as relatively important reference quantitative indicators. But now I prefer to browse the data from various predictive market platforms as one of the important references for bottom buying or profit-taking selling.

For example, on @Polymarket, it is generally believed that the price range for #BTC will reach between 95,000 and 100,000 in 2025, while on @Kalshi, the probability of #BTC returning to 100,000 this December is 59%. This reflects market expectation pricing and serves as a quantitative indicator of market sentiment and belief. This is very useful!

Especially during each market panic, such as the panic caused by Japan's interest rate hike on Monday, it presents a great opportunity. When you already have the probabilities in hand, calculating the odds is merely a matter of how much you earn.

Frequent visits to predictive markets are like a treasure trove, filled with many gems! 🧐

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