Yesterday's layout accurately predicted the downward trend, and the subsequent consolidation did not trigger a second operation. Today's core reminder: heavy speculation is strictly prohibited. Even if the trend judgment aligns with expectations, a safety margin must be reserved; position control is the risk bottom line.
Bitcoin (BTC) Market Core Logic
Trend Positioning: The bullish momentum on the 4-hour chart is gradually increasing, but there is strong resistance in the 91000-91800 range. The alternating pattern of new and old trends should not be amplified; short-term operations should be prioritized.
Technical Support: The 15-minute MACD continues to release bearish signals, and the minute chart has not stabilized after long-term consolidation (oscillating around 90,000); the 30-minute Bollinger Bands show a curved decline, and the bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart is fading, all pointing to a short-term bearish outlook.
Key Price Levels: Resistance above at 91800/93000/95000 (a breakthrough above 95000 may clarify the bull-bear transition), with support below at 89000/86000; today's short-term target for short positions is 89000, and if it breaks below 91800, adjustments will be made dynamically.
Operation Suggestions: Currently, short positions can be entered with an expectation of around 500 points of space; long positions should wait for a pullback to a suitable price level before entering, with a focus on the effectiveness of the 89000 support in the morning session.
Ethereum (ETH) Market Core Logic
Concentrated Pressure: The 4-hour chart has formed a pressure band with dual resistance levels, combined with a doji pattern, and the 3036 position is likely to retreat after an unsuccessful test.
Target Price Levels: A reasonable pullback target is around 3000 (approximately 30 points of space), and the risk of chasing long positions at current high levels is extremely high.
Operation Suggestions: A light short position can be taken directly, or wait to enter short positions at the 3100 level; it is necessary to observe the MACD green-to-red signal and the 2-hour chart's pressure breakthrough situation, as the weakening bullish momentum on the 1-hour chart further supports the short position logic.
Core Investment Mindset
The essence of contract trading is to follow the trend rather than get entangled in cause and effect. If the upward trend encounters resistance, go short; if the downward trend loses strength, go long. During high-level consolidation periods, it is even more necessary to restrain greed. Short-term operations should take profits when available, while the medium to long-term direction should wait for the confirmation of breakthroughs at key price levels of 95000 (BTC) and 3100 (ETH).
Edited on 11-27 at 10:17
Enter short positions for Bitcoin at 91000-91500, take profit at 89000-88500-88000
Enter short positions for Ethereum at 3050-3090, take profit at 3000-2950-2900
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