November 26th BTC and ETH Morning Report, Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis and Strategy

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1 hour ago

In-Depth Analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum Technicals: Bullish Signal Resonance, Differentiated Short and Long Strategies

Yesterday's strategy was executed precisely, with all target points realized, and profit efficiency exceeded expectations. Today, we will analyze the market logic of Bitcoin and Ethereum in depth, combining multiple time frame technical indicators to provide a clear operational framework for future trading.

Bitcoin: Intensified Game at 89000, Focus on Short-Term Fluctuation Layout

The daily chart shows a clear bullish initiation signal: the Alligator line is turning upwards, and the embryonic form of a bullish trend is emerging; the Williams indicator is continuously approaching the 70 range, with oversold pressure gradually releasing; the MACD indicator's bearish momentum is continuously shrinking, and the probability of a golden cross forming is increasing, combined with the converging Alligator line, leading to strong expectations for a short-term rebound.

From the 4-hour perspective, since 8 AM on November 22, the price has started to rise from around 85000, reaching a peak of 89000 yesterday at a key resistance level. This price level resonates with the upper Bollinger Band, leading to a pullback after the high, validating the strength of the resistance level. In terms of operations:

  • Trend Rebound Layout: Focus on the profit space in the 88000-88500 range, leveraging the inertia of the bullish trend to capture short-term gains;

  • Short-Term Short Opportunity: With MACD momentum weakening on the two-hour and one-hour charts, under the expectation of a death cross forming, a light position can be established near the current price of 88000, targeting 87500, with a clear risk-reward ratio.

Key attention points: If the 89000 level is effectively broken, it is necessary to switch operational logic in a timely manner, being wary of trend reversal risks. Real-time strategies can be obtained through live consultation.

Ethereum: Daily Golden Cross Confirmation, Differentiated Execution of Short and Long Strategies

The daily trend of Ethereum resonates with Bitcoin, with a rebound initiated after a previous bullish doji star, and the Alligator line gradually narrowing, indicating that a bullish trend is about to be established; the MACD indicator has officially formed a golden cross, with multiple indicators resonating towards bullishness, making the mid to long-term rebound market worth looking forward to.

The 4-hour chart maintains a bullish pattern, but short-term fluctuation and pullback risks need to be heeded. At the current price near 2949, it is recommended to adopt a differentiated strategy of "short-term short, long-term long":

  • Short-Term Operation: Targeting 2930, flexibly taking profits based on changes in short-cycle indicator momentum;

  • Mid to Long-Term Layout: 3037 and 3103 form two key resistance levels, with opportunities to establish short positions in the 3030 or 3100 range, or to short at market price based on the upper Bollinger Band resistance logic;

  • Pullback Support Levels: The one-hour chart shows that the first target for a price pullback is 2902, and if broken, it could extend to 2878, potentially reaching 2790 in extreme market conditions.

It is important to note that the daily bullish foundation is solid, and blindly chasing shorts is inadvisable; operational strategies should be adjusted dynamically based on price levels. In the short cycle, the two-hour chart is in an upward range, and the top doji star has not yet formed an effective reversal signal (the red top doji star is a clear reversal indicator).

Overall, the bullish signals for mainstream coins are gradually strengthening, but the probability of fluctuations below the short-term key resistance level is relatively high. Operations should adhere to the trend, strictly set profit-taking and stop-loss levels, while also paying attention to changes in volume and the effectiveness of key level breakthroughs, flexibly adjusting position strategies.

11-26 Layout Sharing:

Bitcoin market price 87900-88000 to enter short positions, take profit at 87000-86500-86000

Ethereum 2980-2950 to enter short positions, take profit at 2930-2900-2850

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