I just conducted an interesting experiment to test three AI software programs to see which one can provide the most accurate macroeconomic information. All three are the latest paid versions: ChatGPT 5.1, Gemini 3 Pro, and Grok 4.1 Thinking.
The first test keyword was "Before the Federal Reserve's December meeting, how many non-farm payroll and inflation data reports are there?"
The results were as follows:
First place: Gemini not only provided accurate non-farm and inflation data but was also the only one to include PCE data in the inflation figures. Additionally, it was the only AI to provide information that is unlikely to be released in October. However, it took a very long time to think, placing it last.
Second place: ChatGPT was able to accurately provide the timing for non-farm payroll and CPI but did not have the timing for PCE. Although it hinted that the October non-farm payroll might not be released, it was not certain (this issue doesn't seem too significant). However, it had the fastest thinking time.
Third place: Grok only had the correct timing for CPI; all the non-farm timing was incorrect, and it seemed not to consider that the October non-farm payroll would not be released.
The second test keyword was "How was the September non-farm payroll data?" I intentionally blurred the year in this question.
The results were as follows:
ChatGPT's analysis results
First place: ChatGPT not only provided detailed non-farm data, including employment, unemployment, and wage changes, but also offered comparisons and interpretations of key data, especially regarding the interpretation of non-farm data and its potential impact on monetary policy, which was very useful. Moreover, it remained the fastest.
Gemini's analysis results
Tied for first place: Gemini is tied mainly because I feel that the two can complement each other. Both provided detailed data, and Gemini excelled over ChatGPT by explaining the industries where non-farm employment increased, but it lacked wage data changes, so they complement each other. Additionally, Gemini provided macroeconomic analysis that is more suitable for everyone.
Grok's analysis results
Third place: Grok only had data on employment and unemployment rates, lacking wage data, and its analysis was relatively minimal, falling within the norm.
Overall, if you need some foundational support for macro data, both ChatGPT and Gemini are excellent choices. However, considering that AI can often be unreliable, I personally recommend using more than one AI for mutual verification.
My demand for AI is often for data collection and comparison, and accuracy is very important.
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