On Saturday, November 15, 2025, following the significant crash in the cryptocurrency market during "Black Friday," today's market has entered a phase of consolidation and recovery. Below is a detailed analysis of Bitcoin and Ethereum's market conditions along with targeted operational suggestions:
I. Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis and Operational Strategy
(A) Market Review and Trend Judgment
Yesterday, Bitcoin began a sharp decline from the 99,000 level, reaching a low of 93,939, with a daily drop of nearly 5,000 points, a significant decrease. From a technical perspective, a clear downward trend has formed on the 12-hour chart, and the price has broken through the previous trend line from 4 hours ago. The previous support level of 95,000 has now turned into a core resistance level. Referring to historical trends, the market dropped from above 100,000 to around 74,000 in January this year before starting to rebound. The current downward trend remains strong, and the bottom has not yet been clearly defined.
(B) Key Levels and Operational Suggestions
Core Resistance Levels: 95,000, 95,700-96,000 (if broken and stabilized, a short-term rebound may occur)
Core Support Levels: 94,500, 90,000-91,000 (if 94,500 is lost, a drop below 90,000 is highly likely)
Operational Approach: Today's focus is on consolidation and recovery, likely showing a "rise first, then fall" trend. Weekend market fluctuations are limited, primarily focusing on short positions in a small range.
High Short Layout: Consider placing short positions in the 95,000-95,500 range, targeting a take profit near 94,000.
Trend Following: If the 96,000 resistance level is broken and stabilized, a temporary adjustment in strategy may be warranted; otherwise, continue to adhere to the bearish logic.
Risk Control: If the 94,500 support level is lost, promptly cut losses and exit to avoid greater losses from a drop below 90,000.
II. Ethereum (ETH) Market Analysis and Operational Strategy
(A) Market Review and Trend Judgment
After a significant drop yesterday, Ethereum has entered a short-term rebound phase today, rising from 3,068 to 3,164 within 12 hours, an increase of nearly 100 points. From a technical perspective, the 3,100 support level shows strong performance, but the Bollinger Bands are opening downward, indicating that the overall bearish trend remains unchanged, and there is still room for shorting after the rebound.
(B) Key Levels and Operational Suggestions
Core Support Level: 3,100
Core Resistance Level: 3,164 (short-term rebound high)
Operational Approach: Focus on short trades over the weekend, targeting a take profit in the 15-20 point range, avoiding long-term positions.
Short Strategy: If the price rebounds to around 3,164, consider placing short positions, targeting a take profit in the 3,140-3,130 range.
Support Verification: If the 3,100 support level is lost, consider following up with short positions, using a small position size to capture short-term gains.
Trading Discipline: Weekend market liquidity is relatively weak, strictly control position sizes, avoid blindly chasing highs and lows, and adhere to the principle of short-term entries and exits.
III. Overall Market Risk Warning
The cryptocurrency market is still in a downward trend, with weekend trading primarily focused on consolidation and recovery, and limited volatility. Operations must strictly control position sizes, following the principle of "mainly short positions, short trades are king," and adjust medium to long-term strategies only after the weekly trend is clear. The market changes rapidly, so it is essential to monitor key level breakthroughs in real-time, adjust trading strategies promptly, and set stop-loss and take-profit levels effectively.
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