Although the price of $BTC has seen some pullback today, I feel that the overall market sentiment is still positive. Four individuals related to the Federal Reserve spoke today. First was Williams, who, although not directly stating a position on monetary policy, seemed quite supportive of continuing easing based on his remarks. Next was Bostic, who took a more hawkish stance, showing reluctance to continue cutting rates, believing it would make it difficult to control inflation.

Then there were Bessent and Milan. Milan, as expected, is closely aligned with Trump, actively calling for continued rate cuts, while Bessent publicly stated that he is ready to take on the role of Federal Reserve Chair if given the opportunity. He mentioned that a 50 basis point cut in December would not be appropriate, but a 25 basis point cut should be considered.

Currently, Kalshi's rate cut predictions remain higher than those of CME, with signs of further increases. Additionally, today Bessent reiterated that Trump is prepared to provide $2,000 in "tariff dividends" to low- and middle-income earners. However, I think that while this money is hard to obtain, repeating it daily is still helpful for investor sentiment.

Looking at Bitcoin's data, the turnover rate continues to decrease, which aligns with previous expectations. If the price drops without any significant negative news, investor interest tends to be low. The main reason for the decline is still a lack of liquidity. According to reports from the House of Representatives, voting should conclude by tomorrow morning Beijing time. If all goes well, the government shutdown should also end tomorrow, which could ease market sentiment somewhat.

Furthermore, from the URPD data, support levels appear to be stable, with no signs of panic. The distribution of chips seems reasonable, and there hasn't been much movement from investors in loss. Overall, investor sentiment remains quite stable at the moment.

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