Market Analysis and Trading Strategy Summary for November 10, 2025 (Friday)
I. Core Viewpoints
The overall bearish trend is strong, and this rebound lacks policy support, merely representing a normal pullback after the previous rise. Bitcoin and Ethereum are primarily positioned for "shorting."
II. Technical Analysis (Candlestick Dimension)
Bitcoin
Previous Logic: During the consolidation period on Saturday, a long position was established at 1026. Both the hourly and half-hourly charts show signs of upward movement, with a solidified bottom. It is difficult to decline without special news.
Current Signals: In the past three to four days, there has been high-level oscillation and a downward trend, with a doji appearing. After hitting the resistance level on the 4-hour chart, it faced setbacks and declined. The weekly K-line continues to decline under the pressure of 110,000, with the MACD golden cross and death cross being far apart, indicating a bearish outlook for the week.
Key Levels: Resistance at 10600 and 10640 above, with previous key support at 10000 (which has not been broken for two consecutive times, solidifying the bottom).
Ethereum
Key Levels on the 4-hour Chart: Resistance at 3730, 3707, and 3650 above (3650 is a strong resistance, confirmed by 2-4 candlesticks); support at 3505 below.
Trading Logic: The resistance levels are clear and have been verified multiple times, meeting the conditions for a bearish entry.
III. Trading Strategy
Bitcoin: Wait for a short-term rebound, and after reaching 10600 or 10640 (depending on the speed of the rise), establish a short position.
Ethereum: A short position can be directly established near the key resistance levels, primarily focusing on shorting.
Core Principle: Do not chase long positions; short based on high resistance levels to avoid the blind risk of chasing the high of 100,000 (those who previously aimed for 100,000 have often been liquidated or forced to hold positions).
IV. Positioning
Bitcoin: Short at 106000-106500, targeting 105000-104500-104000.
Ethereum: Enter short at 3630-3650, targeting 3600-3550-3500.
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