This week has quite a few events, in addition to the two major macro events, five companies from the "Seven Sisters" will announce their earnings reports, including Apple Inc. (AAPL), Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL), Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN), and Meta Platforms, Inc. (META).

The release of these earnings reports can significantly influence the movement of U.S. stocks in a short period, especially during the current phase of shifting liquidity expectations and fragile market sentiment, where the performance of tech giants will directly determine the risk appetite of funds.

If the overall performance exceeds expectations, the tech sector is likely to drive a short-term rebound in the index, thereby reinforcing the market narrative of a soft landing. However, if there is a slowdown in earnings or downward guidance, it may exacerbate concerns about the peak of the earnings cycle, triggering a short-term withdrawal of funds.

Overall, this week's earnings reports are not just data events at the company level, but are crucial in verifying the core proposition of "whether easing liquidity can reignite corporate earnings." For the cryptocurrency market, this sentiment transmission is equally evident; once U.S. tech stocks rebound, BTC typically benefits in sync. This issue has been discussed many times in the past two weeks, so I won't elaborate further.

In terms of short-term strategy, I personally believe it is more suitable to maintain stability. If U.S. Treasury yields continue to decline after the earnings reports, it indicates that liquidity expectations are stabilizing, allowing risk assets to continue their rebound. Conversely, if yields rise again, it suggests that the market is starting to reprice the Federal Reserve's path. For BTC, the price structure may continue to follow the fluctuations of the Nasdaq.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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