I actually don't really like saying things like "See, I was right, wasn't I?" which sounds quite silly.

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Phyrex
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6 hours ago

I actually don't like to say things like "See, I was right," which sounds quite silly. However, since some friends have questioned it, let's take a look. This year, I wrote three long articles on the bull and bear market.

The article on the bull and bear market in March was published on March 10, with a closing price of $78,000 that day. Then in April, the lowest price was $74,000, and by May, it reached $110,000. So I believe the prediction made in March was correct from any perspective.

In the August bull and bear article, I clearly stated at the end, "Overall, BTC and ETH, which are highly stable or have exceptionally rapid capital inflow, still have the potential for further rebounds. Additionally, BNB and SOL, which have opportunities in the coin-stock concept, are unlikely to enter a bear market. On the other hand, other tokens that neither have significant capital inflow nor sudden eye-catching events may find it quite difficult."

This article was published on August 27, with a price of $111,000 at that time. What happened next is well known, especially when it broke through historical highs again in early October. $SOL also exceeded $250, and as for $BNB, it reached consecutive historical highs.

I don't mean to say that I'm very accurate; I often make mistakes. But I feel that I should explain in response to my friends' doubts. In March, my biggest concern was recession, so I used the unemployment rate as a benchmark to warn about the risk of recession. By August, the probability of recession had decreased significantly, and I mentioned it much less.

So in terms of the overall judgment, I still have a bit of confidence.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget | @Bitget_zh

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