Today, my Token2049 event has concluded. Tomorrow, I will take a day to rest, and on Monday, I will need to get back into a serious work mode. My health has improved quite a bit by now, and I can have my first drink tomorrow, relaxing on the last day. Starting Monday, I will continue to analyze the impact of the market's stagnation. The geopolitical tensions are not just about Hamas; Russia is also not quiet. As I mentioned yesterday, I plan to close out the remaining 20% of my long positions before Monday.

It's not that I don't have confidence in the upcoming market trends; rather, I don't particularly enjoy gambling, especially in areas beyond my knowledge. Several times, my high drawdowns have been due to greed. Trying to practice detachment is also a good idea. If the market continues to maintain a good trend, I can still find opportunities to place orders.

In general, I have always been optimistic about $BTC at least until 2028. Almost all strategies are based on this premise. The uncertainty for 2026 and 2027 is too high. I am quite looking forward to the third quarter of 2026, while I remain conservative for the first two quarters. I will continue to observe in the last two months of 2025.

Returning to Bitcoin's data, the low liquidity over the weekend has been the best tool for relaxation. As long as nothing unexpected happens, $BTC is likely to experience slight fluctuations, so the remaining mainstream tokens shouldn't have major issues. It seems that this is indeed the case.

From the URPD data, the chip distribution remains very healthy. Yesterday, I mentioned that investors' buying volume wasn't very active, but today we can see it gradually increasing. Perhaps on Monday, we will break new highs. I am a bit hesitant; on one hand, I worry that there might be surprises on Monday, while on the other hand, I feel this is a good opportunity to break new highs. Well, safety first; I think overcoming greed is quite important.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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