Zhou Yanling: 9.30 Bitcoin BTC ETH Today's Latest Trend Prediction Analysis and Operation Strategy
The current main factors affecting cryptocurrency prices are the opening of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut door and the expectations for a rate cut in October; the risk of a government shutdown in the United States; global geopolitical situations, especially the dispute between Russia and Ukraine; and the industry tax that Trump is about to implement. A series of risk events have driven a large amount of capital into the cryptocurrency market, resulting in a relatively strong performance in prices recently. However, these favorable conditions are merely short-term speculation and will not last long. Actual operations should still combine news with technical analysis to comprehensively judge the direction.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's current situation shows that the daily chart indicates a recent strong price increase, but it encountered resistance and fell back around 114800, currently presenting a high-level consolidation. The hourly chart shows multiple unsuccessful tests above 114500 in the short term, with long upper shadows on the candlesticks indicating heavy selling pressure above. The technical indicators MACD show that the hourly line's DIF and DEA are gradually weakening, with the histogram turning from positive to negative, indicating a decrease in momentum; the daily line remains above the zero axis, with a bullish trend still present, but there are signs of divergence. The hourly line has retreated from the overbought zone (above 80) and is currently around 67, indicating short-term adjustment pressure; the daily line maintains around 70, overall leaning strong but needs to be cautious of overheating. The hourly EMA7 and EMA30 maintain a golden cross state, but the price is close to the EMA7 support, and if it breaks below, it may further decline; the daily EMA moving average system is in a bullish arrangement, with the long-term trend still upward.
Zhou Yanling's 9.30 Bitcoin Operation Strategy:
Short at 115000-114400, stop loss above 116000, target around 113000.
Long at 112500-113300, stop loss below 111500, target around 114000.
Zhou Yanling's 9.30 Ethereum Operation Strategy:
Short at 4250-4220, stop loss above 4600, target 4130-4090.
Long at 4080-4120, stop loss below 4030, target 4180-4220.
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risk yourself. The article's review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.】
This article is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for over ten years, currently mainly analyzing and guiding BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contract/spot operations. With a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience, he excels in combining technical and news-based operations, focusing on capital management and risk control. His operation style is steady and decisive, recognized by many investment friends for his easygoing and responsible character along with sharp and decisive operations.
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