Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ I am Wang Yibo! As a new day begins, I hope everyone can accurately capture market opportunities. Remember to check in, loyal fans! 👍 Friends who like this will have a windfall and make big money! 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Time flies, and we are now counting down 5 days to September 2025. We are about to enter the last quarter of 2025, and the market will welcome the critical year-end trading phase. First, let's look at the global market linkage signals: U.S. stocks closed slightly lower on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones initially down 0.37%, the S&P 500 down 0.28%, and the Nasdaq down 0.33%. However, there are still highlights in individual stocks, with Intel (INTC.O) rising 6.4% and Tesla (TSLA.O) up nearly 4%, closing with a market capitalization close to $1.5 trillion, which has a certain uplifting effect on market sentiment.

More crucial policy news comes from the Federal Reserve: According to CME's "FedWatch," the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in October is only 8.1%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is as high as 91.9%; the probability of maintaining rates in December drops to 1.5%, with a cumulative probability of a 25 basis point cut at 24.1%, and a cumulative 50 basis point cut probability reaching 74.4%. This series of rate cut expectations will continue to affect global asset pricing and will also be an important emotional catalyst for the crypto market.

It is important to clarify that the crypto market under the new pattern of 2025 has become a complete "news market," where every rise and fall is closely related to uncertain factors that are about to happen or have already occurred. By following Yibo, you can grasp real-time dynamics in a timely manner and avoid missing key trading nodes.

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Bitcoin: Bullish dominance, rebound trend solidified

After several days of sideways consolidation, Bitcoin broke the deadlock yesterday afternoon, oscillating upward to the 113900 key level; although it experienced a slight pullback due to high-level pressure early this morning, the strength was weak, and it is currently consolidating around the 113200 high with a strong bullish posture.

From a technical perspective, the KDJ three lines on the four-hour chart are accelerating upward and diverging, and the MACD energy bar has turned from negative to positive. The technical indicators resonate with the market structure, further solidifying the rebound trend, indicating that there is still room for price increases. Although the short-term hourly chart shows fragmented ups and downs, there has not been a significant pullback, and the rebound trend is clear, with the upward structure basically formed.

Trading Strategy: Maintain a bullish rebound as the main tone, decisively seize the opportunity to buy on price pullbacks; pay close attention to the breakthrough situation at the 114000 level. If it can successfully stabilize, it may open a new round of accelerated upward movement.

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Ethereum: Wide-ranging oscillation correction, mainly buying at low levels

Compared to Bitcoin's strength, Ethereum's performance is relatively weak and has not yet broken through the previous oscillation range. After rebounding to 4194 high in the morning, it quickly dipped to 4072 low, then oscillated upward to reach 4205 high, and is currently in a consolidation range, showing a wide oscillation pattern.

From the market perspective, Ethereum is following a time correction path, relying on sideways consolidation to complete adjustments and accumulate strength for future upward attacks. Although the high has been broken, the original trend is facing a change, and the market rhythm has been disrupted. However, due to the imbalance in time and pattern cycles, and the lack of effective pullback adjustments in the market, it is necessary to reorganize the market context and adjust the layout direction in a timely manner.

Trading Strategy: Focus on buying at low levels, patiently waiting for the right layout opportunity, and avoiding chasing highs and cutting losses.

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If you are feeling confused—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, don’t know when to enter, don’t know how to stop loss, don’t understand take profit, randomly increase positions, get stuck at the bottom, can’t hold profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profit is worth more than a thousand words; repeated failures are not as good as finding the right direction. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike accurately, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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