Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and seizing the best trading opportunities. Today is Monday, September 8, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning, crypto friends! ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹
==================================
【Market Overall Situation Analysis】
==================================
The current cryptocurrency market is showing a narrow range of sideways fluctuations, with a balance of bullish and bearish forces. From a macro perspective, there is a general expectation in the market for the Federal Reserve to implement interest rate cuts in September, which could be a potential positive factor for risk assets like Bitcoin. Interest rate cuts typically put pressure on the dollar index while increasing market liquidity, theoretically benefiting the upward movement of risk asset valuations.
In terms of institutional capital allocation, the spot Bitcoin ETF continues to record net inflows, reflecting institutional investors' confidence in the medium to long-term prospects of the cryptocurrency market. Market sentiment indicators show that investor sentiment has rebounded from the "fear" zone to the "neutral" area, indicating a gradual recovery in risk appetite. From the structure of the derivatives market, the open interest of call options for Bitcoin expiring in September and December is significantly higher than that of put options, revealing optimistic expectations among market participants for the future.
==================================
【Key Macro Events Outlook】
==================================
August PPI Data (to be released on September 10): The Producer Price Index, as a leading indicator of inflation, will directly impact expectations for Federal Reserve monetary policy. If the data exceeds market expectations, it may strengthen tightening expectations, negatively impacting the crypto market; if it is below expectations, it may alleviate concerns about policy tightening, providing support for the market.
August CPI Data (to be announced on September 11): The Consumer Price Index is a core indicator of inflation levels and is highly correlated with the direction of Federal Reserve monetary policy. High data may exacerbate market concerns about maintaining a tight policy, putting pressure on the liquidity of the crypto market; if the data shows a downward trend, it may improve market liquidity expectations and attract new capital.
Federal Reserve September Meeting (September 17): The decision from this meeting will be a key variable determining market direction. If interest rate cuts are implemented, it may open up upward space for risk assets; if rates are maintained or signals for rate hikes are released, it may trigger downward pressure on the crypto market.
==================================
【Bitcoin Trend Analysis】
==================================
Bitcoin trading over the weekend showed characteristics of narrow fluctuations, with the price volatility range further tightening, entering a technical consolidation phase. The market rebounded to a high of 111,381 but faced resistance and fell back, failing to form an effective breakthrough. The current price is oscillating around the key psychological level of 110,000, with both bullish and bearish forces temporarily in a state of balance, continuing a typical range-bound pattern, oscillating in the upper range and exhibiting characteristics of time for space. Coupled with a relatively quiet news environment over the weekend, market trading activity has decreased, leading to limited overall volatility.
Technical analysis shows that the long-term daily chart presents a clear wave-like retracement structure, with the downward target still pointing to the support level of 100,000. If the four-hour chart can effectively break through the mid-band resistance, there may be short-term technical rebound space. Two key constraining factors need to be closely monitored: first, trading volume has not effectively matched price movements, and insufficient volume will limit the height of any rebound; second, the historical "September effect" seasonal factors are still at play, suggesting that investors should maintain a cautious trading strategy to avoid excessive chasing of highs.
==================================
【Ethereum Trend Analysis】
==================================
Ethereum started a rebound from the 4,250 level yesterday morning, reaching a high of 4,313 before entering a high-level box consolidation phase. After a brief pullback to 4,268 in the evening, it rebounded again, with the current price stabilizing above 4,310 and continuing an upward oscillation trend, overall showing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears.
From the four-hour technical perspective, the market is in a period of oscillation recovery, with the Bollinger Bands continuing to narrow, indicating that short-term price volatility will be limited, and bullish and bearish forces are temporarily in a state of balance. The K-line combination shows a series of small bullish candles, but the bodies are short with significant upper and lower shadows, indicating that bulls are continuously facing bearish pressure while attempting to organize a counterattack, resulting in insufficient upward momentum, forming a typical weak rebound structure.
In the short term, the upward momentum is relatively weak. During the daytime trading session, it is essential to focus on the resistance effect in the 4,350-4,420 range: if an effective breakthrough can be formed and maintained, it may open up upward space; if it continues to be constrained by this range, the price may pull back to the 4,250 level to seek support, and the oscillation pattern may continue.
==================================
💎
💎
==================================
If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade is worth more than a thousand words, and finding the right direction is better than repeatedly failing. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
