In fact, it's not that I am fixated on the "final drop," but rather that historical data shows that in the last nine instances when the federal funds rate exceeded 5%, seven of those times entering a rate-cutting cycle led to an economic recession. This is not just my opinion; it is statistically documented in history. Therefore, even purely from a probabilistic standpoint, entering the "final drop" is highly likely. Of course, I hope it doesn't happen, so my preparation involves holding good spot assets while also keeping cash ready.

I aim to clear out small coins that have no market activity before the "final drop," while the preferred holdings are those with high popularity, such as $BTC (no need to elaborate), those with large capital, like $ETH (the largest capital recently), leading and profitable platforms, such as $BNB and $OKB (buyback, destruction, and dividends), or those with promising futures, like $SOL (high probability of surpassing the spot ETF and having staking).

This way, if I am wrong in my estimation and a recession does not occur, even if I miss out on the altcoin season, I will still have profits from these held tokens. Conversely, if a recession does occur, I will have cash to buy Bitcoin and others at the bottom, waiting for interest rates to return to 0.25% or zero before liquidity is injected.

As long as there is a recession, the injection of liquidity is almost guaranteed to be close to 100%. This is the logic behind the final drop.

No one is necessarily right, but based on the economic cycle, I believe this preparation is relatively safe. There are many ways to make money, but none are easy; losing money, however, is very simple. Respect the economic cycle, respect the market.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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