Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency market and capturing optimal trading windows. Today is September 1, 2025 (Sunday). I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all traders ☀️ Die-hard fans check in 👍 Like to welcome profits 🍗🍗🌹🌹
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Today marks the first trading day of September, and the capital market is focusing on the layout opportunities of the traditional peak season of "Golden September and Silver October." Market sentiment in September is poised to surge; who will dominate the new round of trend markets? Today coincides with Labor Day in the United States, and major equity markets such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and NASDAQ are closed. The derivatives market has shortened trading hours, closing early at 1:00 PM New York time. Although the cryptocurrency market continues to trade 24/7, the closure of U.S. stock markets may lead to a temporary shrinkage in market depth, necessitating caution against price volatility caused by liquidity premiums.
Looking ahead to this week, non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate indicators (to be released on Friday) constitute key macro variables. This data significantly guides expectations for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and is likely to trigger sharp fluctuations in global risk asset prices. It is recommended that investors build hedging portfolios in advance to cope with the opportunities and challenges brought by event-driven market conditions. In the current environment of intensified long-short battles, it is crucial to stay updated on core asset dynamics—follow the Yibo channel, where you can rely on the macro analysis and technical insights of a professional research team to receive cross-market signals for U.S. stocks, cryptocurrencies, and more, helping investors seize pricing opportunities and achieve optimal portfolio allocation, allowing for a more composed response to market fluctuations and capturing alpha returns.
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Bitcoin (BTC) exhibited a weak oscillation pattern yesterday, with the market in a range consolidation phase. Prices fluctuated within a box range, and weekend trading volume showed seasonal shrinkage. Both bulls and bears are in a state of buildup, without forming an effective breakout. During the day, BTC reached a resistance level of $109,440 before retreating to stabilize at a support level of $108,154, then rebounding to consolidate around $109,000.
After a significant prior correction, short-term bearish momentum has weakened, and bulls are beginning to attempt a counterattack. However, the price is still operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and has not effectively broken through this key resistance level, indicating that bullish strength has not yet formed an absolute advantage. The market overall remains in a process of oscillation and bottoming. This means that while bearish momentum has weakened, it has not completely dissipated, and the market is likely to continue its range oscillation and consolidation in the short term.
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Ethereum (ETH) shows a strong correlation with BTC, rebounding from a low of $4,332 in the morning to face resistance at $4,488. In the afternoon, it fell back to around $4,340 for support before rebounding again, reaching a resistance zone of $4,498 before entering a consolidation phase. The current market is in a typical range oscillation cycle, with K-line patterns showing prices repeatedly battling between key support and resistance levels, forming a clear box oscillation range. Coupled with a significant shrinkage in weekend trading volume, both bulls and bears have entered a strategic buildup phase, without forming effective trend breakout momentum.
From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines continue to run closely together, with the momentum bars remaining near the zero axis, further confirming the market's short-term lack of clear directional guidance, and the oscillation pattern will likely continue. It is advisable to maintain a cautiously optimistic operational mindset, generally adhering to the principle of "watch more, act less," and avoid blindly building positions before a clear direction is established. During the early trading hours, a slightly bullish approach can be maintained, but strict profit-taking and stop-loss points should be set to cope with the volatility risk before the box breakout, and positions should be added only after a clear trend signal is formed.
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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the market, unsure when to enter, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand profit-taking, randomly increasing positions, getting stuck while trying to catch the bottom, unable to hold onto profits, missing out on market movements… these are common issues for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade speaks louder than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeated failures. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. Market conditions change rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends should be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to progressing steadily with you in the market.
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