Hello everyone, today is August 19th. Let's quickly review the current core market dynamics and operational strategies, and in two minutes, you'll grasp the key information!
On the macro front, the Federal Reserve's annual meeting is approaching, and major institutions are closely monitoring Powell's speech tone. Overall market expectations are not optimistic, and the recent Bessenet incident continues to ferment, further exacerbating uncertainty. Short-term volatility risks may rise, so it is advised to remain vigilant.
Bitcoin is currently in a rebound and oscillation pattern after a decline. From a technical perspective, under the structural pressure of the 124500 high point, the downward trend has not yet reversed. Key levels: 116900, as a breaking point, has not stabilized, and resistance remains significant; there are still signs of pressure around 115000, and the movement in this area needs to be closely tracked.
On the 4-hour level, the price is repeatedly consolidating in the central area and has formed a twisting line pattern, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears. If the market can effectively break through 116900, the upward space is expected to open, with targets looking at 119500 or even 122000; however, if it falls below 115000, one should be cautious of further probing the 113000 support risk. The MACD fast and slow lines are currently below the zero axis and are about to form a second golden cross, indicating that the rebound demand is accumulating, but the momentum bars are shrinking, and the strength of the rebound still needs confirmation.
For Bitcoin operations, it is recommended to respond with structural trading. Bears can look for breaking opportunities in the 115000-114500 range; bulls can wait for the price to stabilize above 117000 before considering follow-up. Specific reference strategies: try a light long position near 114800, with a stop loss at 114300 and a target of 115500-116700; near 116700, one can layout short positions, with a stop loss at 117300 and a take profit looking towards 114700-115700.
Regarding Ethereum, the technical trend still leans towards a bearish dominance. The key support area is 4170-4190, and the short-term rebound strength is yet to be observed. In the 4-hour cycle, the price rose to 4385 before falling back to 4300, and the overall downward structure has not changed. The MACD fast and slow lines are trending towards a golden cross, but the momentum bars show divergence, indicating that bullish strength is accumulating.
Ethereum strategy: consider a light long position near 4150, with a stop loss at 4133 and a target of 4190-4315; near 4315, one can consider short positions, with a stop loss at 4337 and a take profit looking towards 4150-4250.
Finally, it must be reminded: market fluctuations are severe, and all operations must have proper stop losses and risk control! Strategies are for reference only; investment carries risks, and one should be cautious when entering the market. That concludes today's analysis. Wishing everyone a good rhythm and smooth trading!
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