Let me talk about myself first. Although I have always been watching gaps, I have never traded the gaps on CME, but I do trade the gaps on URPD, and I have always emphasized that the gaps on URPD never go unfilled, and that is indeed the case. However, the gaps on CME are more of a mystery; the probability of them being filled is over 90%, actually around 95%, but it is not 100%. Historically, there are still some gaps that have not been filled.

For example, with $BTC, let's not go too far back. From March 10 to March 13, 2023, there was a gap between $20,330 and $21,110. Going back a bit further, from July 24 to July 27, 2020, there was another gap between $9,665 and $9,925. With just these two, do you think they will be filled? I really don't think they will.

So, the gaps on CME are essentially "data." This data is at most for reference and does not necessarily mean that something will happen. It can be used as a defensive measure; for example, if you think this gap will be filled, then you can place an order at that position. But as for me, I won't do that; at the very least, I will wait until it drops below $100,000 before considering it.

Moreover, as traditional capital enters the market significantly, the price stability increases. Gold also has many gaps, but not all of them have been filled; it's the same principle.

This article is sponsored by #Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh

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