Tracking real-time hotspots in the cryptocurrency world and seizing the best trading opportunities, today is Monday, August 11, 2025, I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀️ die-hard fans check-in 👍 like to make big money 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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August has quietly passed one-third, and in just these 10 days (from the 1st to the 10th), the crypto market has staged an extreme "ice and fire" scenario. Some have reaped surprises amid the intense fluctuations, while others are deeply worried about the market reversal, with a flood of news intertwining, influencing every pulse of the market. At the beginning of the month (from the 1st to the 3rd), the market first focused on the tariff policy of the "Golden Retriever Lion King," with related expectations stirring up capital sentiment. Soon after, the "fraud suspicion" of non-farm data and Powell's strong hawkish statements followed, causing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025 to cool completely, even forming a consensus of "no interest rate cuts for the entire year." Against this backdrop, long positions in the contract market were massively liquidated, and the spot market also began to plummet, with panic spreading. However, the market reversal came unexpectedly. On August 7, Old Trump announced that he would sign an executive order allowing cryptocurrencies to be included in 401(k) pension plans. This heavyweight news not only put extreme pressure on Powell but also made the market sense the possibility of a shift in Federal Reserve policy. Subsequently, Ethereum led the surge, and the entire crypto market once again witnessed a "chaotic dance of demons, with chickens and dogs rising to the sky," leading to a cleansing of short positions in the contract market. As the release of the U.S. CPI data on August 12 approaches, the market saw another pullback yesterday, further confirming the crypto market's "news-driven" nature—success comes from news, failure also comes from news. It can be said that the trend of the crypto market in 2025 largely depends on the "Golden Retriever Lion King's" mood. To profit in such a market, one must ambush in advance and seize the opportunity; otherwise, it will be difficult to achieve anything. Follow Yibo to grasp real-time market dynamics in a timely manner to seize the initiative in the ever-changing market.

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Bitcoin Market Analysis

Bitcoin initially consolidated around the low of 116,366 yesterday morning, then surged with volume, reaching a high of 119,205. After the peak, the price retreated and entered a high-level consolidation phase, continuing the upward momentum after the surge. Currently, the price is also temporarily maintaining a high-level consolidation on the daily chart, but on a larger time frame, it is closely following the short-term moving averages, maintaining a good upward trend. On the 4-hour chart, the K-line is also showing a slightly stronger upward trend along the short-term moving averages. Although it is currently operating near the previous pressure zone, the price has little room for adjustment, leaning towards a continuation of the rebound in the short term. From the current perspective, there is a good chance of refreshing the historical high; this upward momentum is too fierce. A one-sided rise without any pullback makes shorting impossible; one can only follow the trend and be bullish, as there has been no opportunity for a pullback to enter long positions. In the face of such a surge, any pressure seems ineffective, and it breaks without hesitation.

Currently, Bitcoin's performance in the market is very strong. From trading data, its 24-hour trading volume remains at a high level, indicating a surge in market enthusiasm for Bitcoin. According to data from bitcoinprices.org, Bitcoin's market capitalization has reached $2.33 trillion, solidifying its leading position in the crypto market. Looking back at recent trends, Bitcoin reached a peak of $112,000 on May 22 and is now moving towards breaking this record. On a macro level, changes in policies in some regions are also impacting Bitcoin. For example, Texas Governor Greg Abbott signed Senate Bill 21, creating a Texas Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, holding Bitcoin as a long-term asset, which has somewhat enhanced market confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value and provided some support for Bitcoin's long-term trend.

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Ethereum Market Analysis

Ethereum first surged to around 4,333, then retreated, finding support near 4,161, and is currently consolidating around 4,230, showing a corrective trend after the initial surge. From the daily chart perspective, the market is exhibiting a stepwise upward pattern, having successfully broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. During this period, although there have been pullback actions from the bears, the strength has been weak and has not reversed the upward momentum. In the MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines have turned upward and are gradually converging, with a golden cross pattern about to form, indicating that the overall trend is leaning towards the bulls. On the 4-hour chart, the market is primarily in an upward consolidation phase and has broken through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, with the bands opening upward and all moving average indicators showing that the bulls are in control. However, it is important to note that in the KDJ indicator, the K and J values have entered the overbought zone, indicating potential pullback pressure in the short term. Comprehensive analysis shows that each upward probe by the bulls is accompanied by slight pullbacks, but the pullbacks lack continuity and have not formed effective resistance. Therefore, in terms of operation, it is recommended to focus on low buys after pullbacks, using the opportunity of the pullback to lay out long positions in line with the overall upward trend.

Ethereum holds a unique position in the crypto ecosystem, with its smart contract functions providing a foundation for numerous blockchain applications. From a market data perspective, according to information from coinbase.com, Ethereum's price has shown an upward trend over the past week, with an increase of 7.77% and a 4.51% increase within 24 hours. Its current total market capitalization is substantial, reflecting widespread market recognition of Ethereum. Further technical analysis reveals that on the 4-hour time frame, Ethereum is currently in a bullish trend, with the 50-day moving average sloping upward, and since July 11, the 200-day moving average has also begun to slope upward, indicating a strong overall trend. However, as previously mentioned, the KDJ indicator has entered the overbought zone, and investors need to be cautious of potential pullback risks in the short term and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.

Additionally, it is worth noting that besides the fluctuations of mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, there have been some new movements in the crypto market recently. For example, with the popularity of stablecoins, some funding schemes are also stirring beneath the surface. The "Xinkangjia" platform has been exposed as a suspected "Ponzi core + pyramid scheme" funding scheme, using virtual asset investments as a reason to recruit members through "referrals" and using stablecoins for payments and fund settlements. According to investors, the amount involved is about 13 billion yuan, with approximately 2 million investors. This serves as a warning to crypto friends to remain vigilant when participating in crypto investments and carefully assess the authenticity and legality of projects. At the same time, for some virtual tokens issued based on hot events or popular culture, such as the recently launched "LABUBU Coin" due to the popularity of the trendy IP LABUBU, these tokens often experience extreme price volatility. Although they may surge initially, they subsequently plummet, essentially being products of speculative trading without real asset backing, posing extremely high investment risks.

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If you are feeling lost—don’t understand the technology, don’t know how to read the charts, don’t know when to enter the market, don’t know how to set stop losses, don’t understand take profits, randomly increase positions, get stuck at the bottom, can’t hold onto profits, miss market opportunities… these are common problems for retail investors. But don’t worry, I can help you establish the correct trading mindset. A single profitable trade is worth more than a thousand words; finding the right direction is better than repeatedly facing defeat. Instead of frequent operations, it’s better to strike precisely, making each trade more valuable. If you need real-time guidance, you can scan the QR code at the bottom of the article to follow my public account. The market changes rapidly, and due to the timeliness of reviews, subsequent trends will be based on real-time layouts. I look forward to moving steadily forward in the market with you.

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