😂 Today is another day of drinking too much. After drinking, it's already now. I originally said I could analyze the non-farm payroll data in real-time, but now it's all gone cold. From this non-farm payroll data, the unemployment rate has risen to 4.2%. Although it has increased, it is still within the Federal Reserve's expected range.
The number of non-farm jobs is 73,200, which is far from the previous value before adjustment, but it is significantly higher than the adjusted current value. Both the annual and monthly wage rates have increased, indicating that the current economic situation in the United States is still good, and the growth in the labor force is orderly, with a decent employment situation.
Overall, this is still favorable for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, but one month's data is hard to change the Federal Reserve's decision, and the unemployment rate has not exceeded the Federal Reserve's expected value. It would only increase the expectation of a rate cut if it exceeds 4.3%; otherwise, it doesn't mean much.
The current focus is still on the game between Trump and Powell.
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