The world is bustling, all for profit; the world is bustling, all for profit to go! Hello everyone, I am your friend Lao Cui, focusing on digital currency market analysis, striving to convey the most valuable market information to the vast number of coin friends. I welcome everyone's attention and likes, and I refuse any market smoke screens!
The market is extremely stable, so let's talk about topics unrelated to the market. Recently, most of the users I have interacted with are stepping into the crypto world for the first time, and their capital size makes it difficult to directly engage with contracts and spot trading. In fact, there are many ways to profit in the crypto world beyond just these two. At the same time, I have encountered many users wanting to learn more about profit models in the crypto space. For newcomers, you can take advantage of some short positions; many cryptocurrencies on Binance are conducting such activities. The SOL I hold can also be staked for other cryptocurrencies, and with idle funds, this model is more stable than bank wealth management, with returns greater than some wealth management products. I want to clarify that I am not promoting any products; I cannot explain too many specific details, but if anyone is interested, feel free to ask me. Also, take a look at the issuance of newly launched cryptocurrencies; these are all in the primary market. It’s best for newcomers to understand the primary market before entering the secondary market, as it may help in better judging trends. At the very least, you should understand the process of issuing coins.
Regarding recent fluctuations, I will focus more on my short-term strategies. What I do is quite simple, basically aiming for a profit range of 30-50 points on Ethereum. In terms of contracts, it is currently impossible to make long-term layouts unless you can abandon the risk of short-term liquidation. If your capital size is not large, it’s best not to have any unrealistic ideas about contracts for now; just wait to buy some spot after the market declines. Today marks the official start of talks between China and the U.S., and the recent volatility will certainly not be small. For most users, whether bullish or bearish, it is not an excellent opportunity. The trend of Ethereum is also extremely stable; in the linear aspect, it undoubtedly shows a strong bullish trend in the short term, and bears certainly cannot enter the market. However, from a capital perspective, we can see some differences: the pullback space after a surge is getting larger. Previously, the competition was around 100 points, but recently it has turned into a space of 200-300 points, indicating some issues with capital connection.
The trend of Bitcoin has almost always been passive, being pulled by Ethereum, fluctuating back and forth by 2000 points. At such times, observing short-term positions is the best choice. The lows are getting higher, and the highs are gradually rising, suggesting a possibility of slowly moving up to repair previous highs. Compared to Ethereum, Bitcoin's trend is relatively weak; while Ethereum can continuously set new highs during its recovery phase, Bitcoin is the opposite, but both show a consistent trend. The only feedback we can get is a general bullish sentiment, which in technical indicators can almost only have one choice. Based on price, both of these, according to past thinking, have a huge bubble, and the unstable factors lie in tariffs and non-farm payroll data issues. The key factors were explained in detail in yesterday's article, so I won’t elaborate further today. There are no issues with the spot of mainstream cryptocurrencies; it’s just that the current price level makes many hesitant. I will mention one data point: when Bitcoin returns to its previous high position, short positions will explode by 2.5 billion, which shows how unstable the market sentiment is.
Regarding the definition of value, the crypto world has always been vague. This concept actually exceeds my expectations. In my career, I have never seen a revolutionary financial product. Perhaps cryptocurrencies do have such characteristics because there has never been a financial product that circulates across borders globally; only gold has this attribute. If the ideal state of the crypto world can ultimately reflect its value in reality, then the current price can even be considered a low point. Everyone should be clear that the two industrial revolutions directly destroyed the original agricultural social system. Before the industrial revolution, agriculture accounted for 90% of the global economy. When the steam engine era began, agriculture was rapidly compressed to 10%. Although the overall market value did not change, the subsequent value was compressed in overall space. Emphasizing this point is to remind everyone not to be shortsighted, thinking that high prices mean they should short; first, understand the value before discussing price issues.
The trend of this market, in terms of our predictions, undoubtedly indicates an early start of nearly a month. Do not avoid reality; denying the bull market cannot face the emergence of new highs. As long as new highs appear, it indicates a wrong judgment of the trend. I can face such failures, even if this failure has caused me nearly 50,000 USDT in losses. Only by facing failure can I have a week to recover 30,000 USDT in losses through re-layout. Everyone must remember not to be influenced by the anchoring effect; the current trend cannot be grasped, and it is not something that a bear or bull can interpret. In the face of such a market, the only option is to intervene with spot trading; contracts certainly cannot withstand such volatility. Especially after Trump promoted the crypto world, the entire crypto space has been in a bull market phase. I cannot guarantee that after new highs, there will be a large-scale collapse. The application scenarios for cryptocurrencies are becoming increasingly broad, and we cannot interpret them with previous understandings; perhaps abandoning obsession is the best choice.
As for whether the cryptocurrency market can reach the heights of the industrial revolution, I cannot judge either. I can only say that the entire financial market does not have enough understanding of the concept of cryptocurrencies. Promoting the crypto market is not something you and I can decide. We can only observe how the higher-ups control the market and solve the nature of world circulation products; there are no precedents or references in history. For me, I can only follow the direction of the higher-ups. I also hope everyone does not underestimate the energy of the crypto world. The heat of stablecoins is gradually being reduced, and everyone should pay attention to the over-issuance of USDT. Currently, the overall market liquidity is not a major issue. After passing the key nodes of tariffs and non-farm payrolls, I will also start a new round of layouts. As long as there are signals of interest rate cuts, it will be time for everyone to take action on spot trading. The first choice can only be SOL!
In summary, influenced by previous contracts, I can finally breathe a sigh of relief today. I have not replied much to your private messages in the past few days, but from today onwards, I will focus on all of you users. I want to reiterate that I have no cooperation with any platform. If you want to seek cooperation, please look for other analysts and do not waste everyone’s time. Many friends have approached me, but I have not been able to respond for nearly a month. I sincerely apologize for this. If you need something, please clarify your intentions when reaching out to me. If you want accurate layouts, I can only provide you with a reference opinion. I am not responsible for any other inconveniences caused, and I hope everyone can be cautious. Some friends' private messages I have not replied to; the reason is clear to everyone. The direction I provide has a high accuracy rate, but most fans have not entered the market. Perhaps based on a testing perspective, after several tests, they feel I am relatively accurate, but when a subsequent trade results in a loss, they complain about me. For such users, I will not respond to any future market questions; you can look for other analysts. The road is long, and we may meet again by chance. My principle is: no fees, no responsibility! There are no charging items! You must choose to invest in spot trading among the top ten cryptocurrencies by market value.
Original creation by WeChat Official Account: Lao Cui Talks About Coins. For assistance, please contact directly.
Lao Cui's message: Investing is like playing chess; a master can see five, seven, or even ten moves ahead, while a novice can only see two or three moves. The master considers the overall situation and strategizes for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one territory, aiming for the final victory. The novice, however, fights for every inch, frequently switching between bullish and bearish positions, only contending for short-term gains, resulting in frequent troubles.
This material is for learning reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trade at your own risk!
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