In July, we will focus on the trend of the 2-day line to determine the overall direction. Assuming we take the point 111980 as point 2 and the highest point of 110000 on January 20 as point 1. Although the price at point 2 has exceeded the previous high at point 1, from the perspective of static energy, it is actually diverging; the underlying logic has not yet fully played out.

If the market wants to continue to surge upwards, whether it rises by 10,000 points or 30,000 points, the key lies in whether the rebound energy at this level is sufficient. There are three critical support levels; as long as the price does not fall below these, there is still a chance for upward movement. These three levels are 106150, 103695, and 102165. Currently, the bottom at this level has not been fully confirmed, so friends who are not holding positions can continue to observe; it is estimated that the bottom will become clear within a week.

Additionally, if the bottom at this level of 96000 is broken, then the unit adjustment cycle that started from 74000 will be considered completely over, and we will enter the next unit adjustment cycle, which will also last for 3 months.

Therefore, last night I speculated that if we complete another unit adjustment cycle in the second half of the year, this bull market that has risen from 15,000 in January 2022 will come to an end. After all, the higher it rises, the more intense the drop will be when it falls; once it drops, it will be difficult to rise again, and the adjustment period will be longer. Moreover, with the possibility of the U.S. economy falling into recession and tariffs being gradually implemented, under this broader context, the adjustment cycle is likely to be prolonged, leading us into the next bear market.

There may be a delay in posting, so please refer to real-time market conditions for specifics. If you want to know about the analysis of other cryptocurrencies, feel free to message me privately or leave a comment. If you find the content useful, don't forget to like and support it. If you want to receive more real-time trading strategies daily, wish to learn techniques online, or need to get out of a position, you can follow the mentor's public account "Lei Ge's Trading Diary." Moreover, the first ten friends who follow daily will receive a free strategy for getting out of positions; don't miss this opportunity!

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