Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman indicated that she may support a rate cut in July.

“If inflationary pressures remain under control, I would support lowering the policy rate as soon as possible at the next meeting to bring it closer to a neutral setting and maintain a healthy labor market.” Bowman has been very focused on inflation risks over the past year.

She stated that she believes tariffs could lead to a “small and one-time increase” in prices, as she expects idle capacity in the economy to increase this year. She considers the labor market to be robust and close to full employment levels.

However, she also pointed out vulnerabilities in the labor market (declining labor market dynamism, slowing economic growth, and low concentration of job growth), and therefore the Federal Reserve “should place greater emphasis on the downside risks to the employment objective in the future.”

This is the first substantial comment Bowman has made on the economic outlook since being nominated by Trump for the position of Vice Chair for Supervision and confirmed by the Senate this spring.

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