Zhou Yanling: 6.19 Bitcoin and Ethereum Latest Trend Prediction Analysis and Trading Strategy
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The Federal Reserve's interest rate announcement in the early morning did not have any impact on the cryptocurrency market, maintaining the expectation of two rate cuts this year. It was expected that they would hold steady. Although the dot plot for June did not change the expectation for rate cuts this year compared to March, the expectation for the number of rate cuts in 2026 has been reduced to one, and Powell's speech remains hawkish. After a slight pullback, the US dollar index has risen again to a recent high. Today, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England are also expected to keep interest rates unchanged. The Swiss National Bank has already cut rates five times in a row, and if this expectation is met, attention should be paid to the statement regarding future rate cut plans. If the Bank of England also does not cut rates this time, the market's focus will shift to its future policy path.
Currently, the market trend shows that the cryptocurrency prices have been maintaining a sideways fluctuation for the past two days, with the daily chart indicating a high-level consolidation state. The hourly chart has formed a short-term K-line combination with a "long lower shadow," indicating some buying support at lower levels, but there is still pressure above. Technical indicators on the hourly chart show that the DIF and DEA are gradually converging, with green bars shortening and bearish momentum weakening; the MACD on the daily chart is below the zero axis, with limited rebound strength. The hourly RSI is around 53, close to the neutral zone, not entering overbought or oversold territory; the daily RSI remains above 50, indicating a slightly bullish market sentiment but not strong. The hourly EMA7 (104915) and EMA30 (104862) are converging, with the short-term direction still unclear; EMA120 (105554) poses significant resistance to the price. The short-term market sentiment is cautious, lacking the momentum for trend continuation. In terms of daily operations, it is advisable to develop cautiously. In the larger trend, Yanling still holds the previous view of being bullish in the long term, while in the short term, one can occasionally seize small pullback opportunities.
6.19 Bitcoin Trading Strategy:
1. Buy at 103600-104300, stop loss below 102500, target 105200-106000
2. Sell at 106000-105300, stop loss above 107000, target 104300-103400
6.19 Ethereum Trading Strategy:
1. Sell at 2560-2530, stop loss above 2600, target 2490-2460
2. Buy at 2450-2480, stop loss below 2410, target 2530-2560
【The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Please bear the risks yourself. The article review and publication may have delays, and the strategies may not be timely. Specific operations should follow Yanling's real-time strategies.】
This article is exclusively shared by senior analyst Zhou Yanling (WeChat public account: Zhou Yanling). The author has been engaged in financial market investment research for over ten years, currently mainly analyzing and guiding BTC, ETH, DOT, DOGE, LTC, FIL, EOS, XRP, BCH, ETC, BSV, and other cryptocurrency contract/spot operations. For more real-time community guidance, consultation on position recovery, and learning trading skills, you can follow the teacher's public account: Zhou Yanling to find the teacher.
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