In the past two days, the market has primarily focused on geopolitical conflicts and the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting. The stakes involve not only the escalation of geopolitical conflicts but also the dot plot on Thursday. Nick pointed out that if it weren't for tariffs, the Federal Reserve could have lowered interest rates in June, which suggests that Powell may release dovish statements this time. Current inflation has retreated, but policy variables are significantly interfering, and the Federal Reserve may still be "talking dovish while acting hawkish."

On the other hand, JPMorgan has issued JPMD on the Base chain, symbolizing the formal entry of traditional banks into RWA, boosting confidence in the crypto market. On-chain data for $BTC shows that the main chips are stable, with a declining turnover rate, and investors are generally waiting for Thursday's meeting. The support at 93K–98K is solid, and although over 1.07 million chips have accumulated in the 105K area, it is primarily short-term, and the structure is not stable. I have already opened a long position at $104,600.

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