The market changes in the past two days are still largely related to the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East.

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Phyrex
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13 hours ago

The market changes in the past two days are still largely related to the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East. However, starting from the middle of the week, it will be influenced by U.S. macroeconomic factors, such as retail data and the dot plot, with the dot plot being particularly important. Currently, the market expects two interest rate cuts in 2025. If the result of the dot plot is greater than or equal to 2, there will still be a chance to speculate on a rate cut in September. However, if it is less than 2, it will not be good news for the market.

I still don't understand much about the war aspect, so I don't have much say in it. However, I will focus on oil prices, especially the trend of U.S. oil ($USOL). For example, U.S. oil just opened, and the price has been declining, which indicates that investors still expect oil prices to decrease. This means that the impact on U.S. inflation will not be significant, so both U.S. stocks and $BTC are generally rising.

After all, during the geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East, the trends of oil prices, Bitcoin, and U.S. stocks are usually opposite, so this indicator is also a good reference.

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