Arthur Hayes: ETH may double to $5,000 this year, setting a new historical high—

A typical "market psychology game" logic!

I have always emphasized:

As long as the fundamentals of Ethereum do not change, and as long as market FUD becomes more intense, Ethereum is an excellent target!

Why are there price fluctuations?

It's simply because fools are buying and fools are selling.

The market has reflexivity; do not pay attention to others' words, but learn to focus only on the current possible opportunities and changes in fundamentals—

How to view this wave of ETH rebound opportunity?

1️⃣ Short-term emotional low + ETF favorable catalyst + capital rotation game, ETH may become the representative of "catch-up" in the next phase.

2️⃣ If BTC stabilizes and consolidates above 70K, it is highly probable that ETH will rise to 4,000.

3️⃣ Whether it can break the historical high ($4,878) depends on: whether the ETF truly brings substantial capital inflow, whether the market is willing to re-establish the long-term narrative for ETH, and under the gradual implementation of Proto-Danksharding / L2 scaling technology, RWA and real-world finance are likely to choose Ethereum.

Emotions can be manipulated; market cycles often favor assets that rebound from emotional lows, let's wait and see.

This is the most typical manifestation of reflexivity: expectation → behavior → reality is changed → expectation is reinforced.

Investing is not about waiting for value to return, but about waiting for a cognitive reversal—

Reflexivity is that collective cognitive reversal carnival.

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