Multiple Armies Retreat VS Air Force Carnival: Is $100,000 the BTC "Maginot Line"?

CN
6 hours ago

Original|Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina)

Author|Wenser (@wenser2010)

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

In the early hours of today Beijing time, BTC briefly surged to $107,000 before pulling back, while ETH fell below $2,400 at one point, and mainstream coins generally entered a correction mode. Regarding the future market direction, large whales have begun to "speak with their positions." Some have splurged tens of millions of dollars to start their shorting journey, while others have long positions with unrealized profits nearing $30 million. Odaily Planet Daily will summarize the recent positions of large whales in this article for readers' reference.

Whale Jams Wynn: Long position unrealized profit once approached $30 million, currently retraced to around $18 million


On May 18, according to on-chain analyst @EmberCN, whale @JamesWynnReal used 40x leverage to go long 3,788.7 BTC on Hyperliquid, with a position value of $391 million, opening at $103,083 and a liquidation price of $96,474. As BTC briefly broke through $105,000, James Wynn's long position unrealized profit exceeded $27.7 million, with a $8.38 million unrealized profit on the BTC 40x long and a $20.26 million unrealized profit on the kPEPE 40x long.

Latest data shows that whale @JamesWynnReal's BTC long position unrealized profit has retraced to $1.12 million; kPEPE long position unrealized profit has retraced to around $17 million; additionally, its XRP long position has an unrealized loss of about $2.42 million. On-chain data: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x5078c2fbea2b2ad61bc840bc023e35fce56bedb6

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Bullish Representative

ETH Shorting Group: 25x short, position value once exceeded $100 million


Yesterday, an address that had been dormant for four years, 0xcddf, shorted 41,851 ETH with 25x leverage, with a position value of $103 million, opening at $2,514 and a liquidation price of $2,525; subsequently, due to ETH's rise, it ultimately incurred a loss of $2.46 million upon liquidation. After closing the ETH short, it turned to use the remaining funds to go long on BTC: opening a 40x long position of 166 BTC at a price of $106,580, with a position value of $17.6 million, ultimately losing $175,000 in just 45 minutes. However, it later opened another 25x short on ETH, rolling over after realizing profits, and the position has gradually increased to 4,136 ETH. Latest data shows that this address's 25x leverage short position has dropped to around $9.8 million, with current unrealized profit of about $180,000.

On-chain data: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0xcddf90930aa49231d55538f8f2dac97a562e5f6b

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Caught in the Middle

ETH Shorting Group: 20x short, position once reached $70 million

Address 0x2258 previously shorted 28,248 ETH with 20x leverage, with a position value of $70 million, opening at $2,561 and a liquidation price of $2,694. Seven hours ago, it closed all short positions, and this address is now fully liquidated.

On-chain information: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x225864ad63ba66272cd6be3e65476a2eba48c215

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Liquidation Completed

SOL Shorting Group: 20x short, holding over 20,000 SOL


On May 16, according to OnChain Lens monitoring, a whale deposited 1.7 million USDC into Hyperliquid to open a SOL short position with 20x leverage. Latest data shows that this address currently holds about 20,336 SOL, with cumulative unrealized profit of about $197,400.

On-chain information: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x6b0411091ad1e73a225d24304bf9d4d98fa1b0e2

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Shorting Continues

Mainstream Coin Shorting Group: Previously profited over $15 million on Hyperliquid, shorting 5 tokens

According to Lookonchain monitoring, a whale who profited over $15 million on the Hyperliquid platform has begun to short ETH, BTC, AVAX, SOL, and USUAL heavily. This trader has also set 100 limit orders in the $2,460-$2,480 range, preparing to continue shorting ETH.

Latest data shows that all short positions of this address are profitable, among which the ETH 20x short position holds 3,034 ETH, with unrealized profit of about $182,000; the BTC 20x short position holds 38 BTC, with unrealized profit of about $84,000; the AVAX 20x short position holds about 50,000 AVAX, with unrealized profit of about $38,000; the SOL 20x short position holds about 1,935 SOL, with unrealized profit of about $9,000; the USUAL 5x short position holds about 185,000 USUAL, with unrealized profit of about $2,000.

On-chain information: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x8Bff50AAd8b4E06c5E148eaEB9D7Aef69e26CDC3

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

20x short on ETH, BTC, AVAX, SOL, 5x short on USUAL

HYPE Shorting Group: 5x short, holding over 1.87 million HYPE

Previously, according to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale opened a 5x short position of 1.875 million HYPE on Hyperliquid; on the 17th, its unrealized loss reached as high as $12.06 million, and subsequently, it withdrew 3 million USDC from Binance as margin, with a liquidation price of $31.6. Latest data shows that this address currently has an unrealized loss of about $9.55 million.

On-chain information: https://hypurrscan.io/address/0x20b141d3b74779d96b48b966807d719d5dfa08a6

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Firm Bears

In addition to the above-mentioned whales with long and short contracts, there are also whales who have bottom-fished in the previous ETH downturn, ultimately realizing millions in profits.

ETH Bottom-Fishing Whale: Bought over 6,700 ETH at the bottom, profiting over $4.26 million

According to on-chain analyst Yu Jin's monitoring, a whale transferred 6,384.5 ETH to Binance in the past 4 hours, obtaining 15.549 million USDT, with an average selling price of about $2,435. This whale withdrew 6,710 ETH from Binance about a month ago at a price of $1,768. Roughly estimated, it has made a profit of over $4.26 million in this operation.

On-chain information: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/address/0xD20E007881ea62B5922B06D025c9dc1D41962953

Retreat of the Bulls vs. Celebration of the Bears: Has $100,000 Become BTC's "Maginot Line"?

Profit Taken

Summary: The bears are temporarily in the lead, but the bulls never give up


After a brief weekly increase, both BTC and ETH have experienced varying degrees of correction, with the bears currently holding a leading position. Additionally, whales who previously bottom-fished BTC and ETH have also chosen to take profits. However, industry figures and analysts, including James Wynn and Arthur Hayes, generally believe that it is difficult for BTC prices to fall below $100,000, and the bulls remain hopeful. In the short term, the bears may have the upper hand, but the bulls never give up.

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