Source: Cointelegraph
Original: “Gold-Based Forecast Predicts Bitcoin (BTC) Could Hit $220K in 2025”
Key Points:
New Bitcoin price predictions leverage the interaction with gold, forecasting that this year the price will break the $200,000 mark.
The Bitcoin price cycle continues to be the focus of the BTC "power curve" model.
Capturing gold's market value could drive BTC/USD close to $1 million by the end of this decade.
There is a "significant possibility" that Bitcoin will reach $250,000 or higher in 2025, as market attention shifts towards replicating gold's trend.
In the latest analysis, the X platform analysis account Apsk32 pointed out that Bitcoin's four-year price cycle should bring unprecedented highs this year.
The theory that Bitcoin follows gold's new highs is popular among bulls. Historical data shows that BTC/USD typically follows XAU/USD's rise after a few months of lag.
For Apsk32, this impact is particularly significant; with gold prices reaching a record $3,500 per ounce, the outlook for Bitcoin's price trend is bright.
"Since April, Bitcoin's position relative to gold has significantly improved," he told his X platform followers while showcasing his proprietary "power curve" tool.
"This is an indicator that fills me with hope for achieving unexpected returns later this year."
The power curve concept involves measuring Bitcoin's price in ounces of gold to avoid the inflationary attributes of the dollar.
"Here, I measure the Bitcoin network value (market cap) in ounces of gold and fit that value into the power curve," Apsk32 explained in a dedicated X post in March.
One of the findings is a potential bull market top target, providing a new reference for the historical high of $20,000 in 2017.
"If the Bitcoin network value priced in gold continues to follow the power curve, and gold maintains its current value while Bitcoin's price returns to 'support levels from five years ago,' we could reach Josh's predicted $444,000 this year," the analysis added.
This week, Apsk32 stated that a more "reasonable" target for 2025 would be $220,000.
"If we start breaking through $250,000, that’s what I consider 'outperforming,'" he responded when asked about future prospects. "I do believe we have a significant chance of reaching that level; it’s just not the most likely outcome."
Continuing the gold theme, Bitcoin analyst Sam Callahan studied the data, showing the heights that could be reached if BTC/USD captures different proportions of gold's market value.
This scenario may stem from the popularization of the "digital gold" concept, a shift that is widely expected to accelerate in the coming years.
"If gold reaches $5,000 per ounce by 2030, and Bitcoin captures 50% of its market value, then the BTC price would reach $924,000," Callahan cited data from the latest report released this week, "In Gold We Trust."
The report states that this data "is not a price prediction in itself, but a scenario-based framework—rooted in our existing gold model—that provides a clearer perspective on the potential relative revaluation of non-sovereign hard assets by the end of this decade."
Related: Brazilian fintech company Méliuz approved to become a Bitcoin (BTC) reserve company
This article does not contain any investment advice or recommendations. Any investment and trading activities involve risks, and readers should conduct their own research before making decisions.
免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。
